#27338

Suspiciousness combines shared markets, funding links and timing · a heuristic, not a finding

Members15

Internal similarity0.87avg Jaccard

Suspiciousness59%

Volume$7.2K

Avg win rate93.9%

Profile

Top markets

Solana Up or Down - April 21, 6AM ET
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 6AM ET
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 7AM ET
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 7AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8AM ET

Dominant tags

hide-from-newup-or-downcryptocrypto-pricesrecurring

Members

15 listed

Shared markets

50 listed

Market		Side	Yes / No
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 10PM ET	15100%	Yes	12/12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 12PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 5AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 10PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 9AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 9AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 10PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	15100%	No	0/15
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 1PM ET	15100%	No	14/15
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 5PM ET	15100%	No	12/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10AM ET	15100%	Yes	14/14
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 4AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 11PM ET	15100%	No	14/15
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 8AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/14
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET	15100%	Yes	13/12
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 12PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 4AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 4AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 9PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/13
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 11AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 7AM ET	15100%	No	14/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 11PM ET	15100%	Yes	14/14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 8PM ET	15100%	No	0/15
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 3PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 9AM ET	15100%	No	14/15
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 3AM ET	15100%	No	14/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - March 9, 1AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 6AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 11AM ET	15100%	Yes	15/15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3PM ET	15100%	Yes	14/13
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 10PM ET	15100%	No	13/15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1AM ET	15100%	No	12/15

Timing and similarity

Avg funding gap: —
Shortest funding gap: —
Pairs funded within 24h: 0
Funded pairs: 0
Wallet pairs compared: 100
Avg Jaccard similarity: 0.87
Same-side markets per pair: 4,189

Funding links

source	memberCount	totalVolume
0x4cd0…bc31	15	0

Same-side betting

marketId	question	side	memberCount	memberPct
1,589,790	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2PM ET	yes	15	100
1,811,827	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7PM ET	yes	15	100
2,053,427	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 12PM ET	yes	15	100
1,425,076	XRP Up or Down - February 26, 5AM ET	yes	15	100
2,018,081	Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8PM ET	yes	15	100
1,441,459	Solana Up or Down - February 27, 10PM ET	yes	15	100
1,477,050	Solana Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET	yes	15	100
1,397,520	Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 9AM ET	yes	15	100
1,625,397	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5AM ET	yes	15	100
1,423,345	Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11PM ET	yes	15	100
1,507,274	XRP Up or Down - March 7, 9AM ET	yes	15	100
1,556,250	Solana Up or Down - March 12, 10PM ET	yes	15	100
1,591,444	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5PM ET	yes	15	100
2,071,440	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	no	15	100
1,808,559	Solana Up or Down - April 2, 1PM ET	no	15	100
1,866,308	XRP Up or Down - April 6, 5PM ET	no	15	100
1,540,451	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ET	yes	15	100
1,802,200	Solana Up or Down - April 2, 4AM ET	yes	15	100
1,504,384	XRP Up or Down - March 6, 11PM ET	no	15	100
1,523,730	Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 8AM ET	yes	15	100