Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Elections53Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupGavin NewsomYes 16¢No 84¢Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 16¢No 84¢Jon OssoffYes 15¢No 85¢+50 more outcomes+$2.5M$72.2MNov 8, 2028
Michigan Senate Election WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAbdul El-Sayed (D)Yes 79¢No 22¢Mike Rogers (R)Yes 21¢No 80¢+$1.8M$1.3MNov 4
Which party will win the House in 2026?Politics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 95¢No 6¢Republican PartyYes 6¢No 95¢+$1.7M$14.4MNov 4
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsGeopolitics5Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocrats SweepYes 71¢No 30¢R Senate, D HouseYes 24¢No 77¢Republicans SweepYes 5¢No 96¢+2 more outcomes+$1.6M$18.1MNov 4
Worlds 2026: WinnerSports9Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupGen.GYes 47¢No 54¢T1Yes 22¢No 79¢Bilibili GamingYes 15¢No 85¢+6 more outcomes+$1.3M$1.8MNov 29
Presidential Election Winner 2028Politics55Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJD VanceYes 18¢No 82¢Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 13¢No 87¢Gavin NewsomYes 11¢No 89¢+52 more outcomes+$988.5K$59.1MNov 8, 2028
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Politics3Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupPete Ricketts (R)Yes 74¢No 27¢IndependentYes 26¢No 75¢DemocratYes <1¢No >99¢+$762.8K$593.3KNov 4
Texas Senate Election WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJames Talarico (D)Yes 71¢No 30¢Ken Paxton (R)Yes 30¢No 71¢+$612.5K$2.5MNov 4
Next French Presidential ElectionPolitics45Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMarine Le PenYes 41¢No 59¢David LisnardYes 17¢No 83¢Édouard PhilippeYes 14¢No 87¢+42 more outcomes+$602.4K$18.3MApr 19, 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Geopolitics8October 31Yes 99¢No 1¢November 2Yes 94¢No 6¢November 4Yes 85¢No 16¢+5 more outcomes+$502.3K$593.0KJan 1, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Geopolitics15October 30Yes >99¢No <1¢October 29Yes >99¢No <1¢October 31Yes 99¢No 1¢+12 more outcomes+$502.2K$613.2KDec 31
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Elections2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 72¢No 29¢Republican PartyYes 29¢No 72¢+$469.6K$5.7MNov 4
Iowa Senate Election WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAshley Hinson (R)Yes 57¢No 43¢Josh Turek (D)Yes 42¢No 59¢+$462.2K$675.6KNov 4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Geopolitics6March 31Yes 63¢No 37¢December 31Yes 43¢No 57¢November 30Yes 31¢No 70¢+3 more outcomes+$406.9K$487.2KJan 1, 2027
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Politics43Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJ.D. VanceYes 38¢No 62¢Marco RubioYes 21¢No 79¢Ron DeSantisYes 4¢No 96¢+40 more outcomes+$379.6K$49.0MNov 8, 2028
California Governor Election WinnerPolitics23Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupXavier BecerraYes 98¢No 2¢Steve HiltonYes 2¢No 98¢Tom SteyerYes <1¢No >99¢+20 more outcomes+$327.4K$7.9MNov 4
Florida Governor Election WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupByron Donalds (R) Yes 64¢No 36¢David Jolly (D)Yes 35¢No 65¢+$276.8K$592.8KNov 4
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Science12Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupSpaceXYes 54¢No 46¢AnthropicYes 43¢No 57¢OpenAIYes <1¢No >99¢+9 more outcomes+$231.4K$671.4KJan 2, 2027
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Crypto30↓ 70,000Yes 47¢No 54¢↑ 90,000Yes 28¢No 73¢↓ 65,000Yes 27¢No 74¢+27 more outcomes+$226.1K$4.4MJan 1, 2027