#28682

Suspiciousness combines shared markets, funding links and timing · a heuristic, not a finding

Members3

Internal similarity0.97avg Jaccard

Suspiciousness49%

Volume$29.9K

Avg win rate54.9%

Profile

Top markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Dominant tags

up-or-downhide-from-newcryptocrypto-pricesrecurring

Members

3 listed

Shared markets

50 listed

Market		Side	Yes / No
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 2AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3100%	No	0/3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
XRP Up or Down - October 9, 1PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 3AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	3100%	Yes	3/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 9AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 5AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
XRP Up or Down - August 31, 11PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 10AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 9PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Solana Up or Down - September 21, 11PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 5AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Solana Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 5PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 2PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3AM ET	3100%	Yes	2/2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3100%	Yes	3/3
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1PM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	3100%	Yes	3/0
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	3100%	Yes	0/0

Timing and similarity

Avg funding gap: —
Shortest funding gap: —
Pairs funded within 24h: 0
Funded pairs: 0
Wallet pairs compared: 3
Avg Jaccard similarity: 0.97
Same-side markets per pair: 1,840

Funding links

source	memberCount	totalVolume
0xf70d…dbef	3	20160
0x4cd0…bc31	3	0

Same-side betting

marketId	question	side	memberCount	memberPct
1,391,596	Solana Up or Down - February 20, 2AM ET	yes	3	100
1,531,723	Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	no	3	100
1,551,440	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET	yes	3	100
1,488,124	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	yes	3	100
1,392,268	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	yes	3	100
1,387,855	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	yes	3	100
1,388,221	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	yes	3	100
1,388,706	Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 9AM ET	yes	3	100
1,660,446	Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 5AM ET	yes	3	100
1,526,676	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	yes	3	100
1,494,779	Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	yes	3	100
1,565,226	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	yes	3	100
1,381,449	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	yes	3	100
1,533,574	Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	yes	3	100
1,548,433	Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	yes	3	100
1,523,058	Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	yes	3	100
1,403,625	Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	yes	3	100
1,669,709	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3AM ET	yes	2	66.7