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#62700

Suspiciousness combines shared markets, funding links and timing · a heuristic, not a finding
Members3
Internal similarity0.84avg Jaccard
Suspiciousness59%
Volume$4.1K
Avg win rate3.3%

Profile

Top markets
  • European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
  • Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
  • Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
  • Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
  • Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
Dominant tags
politicselectionsus-presidential-electionmidtermsnov-4-elections

Members

3 listed
  • 0x16c0…38acRepresentative wallet
  • 0x563a…f578Representative wallet
  • 0xc79f…e3feRepresentative wallet

Shared markets

50 listed
MarketSideYes / No
Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?
3100%Yes3/0
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
3100%Yes3/3
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
3100%Yes3/0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
3100%Yes3/0
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?
3100%Yes3/0
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
3100%Yes3/0
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
3100%Yes3/0
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
3100%Yes3/0
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
3100%No2/3
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
3100%Yes3/0
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
3100%Yes3/3
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3100%No2/3
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
3100%Yes3/0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
3100%Yes3/3
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?
3100%No0/3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
3100%No0/3
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by April 30, 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
3100%Yes3/3
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
3100%No1/2
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?
3100%Yes3/0
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3100%Yes3/0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
3100%No0/3
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?
3100%No0/3
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
3100%No0/3
Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
3100%Yes3/0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
3100%Yes3/0
Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?
3100%Yes3/0
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?
3100%Yes3/0
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
3100%No0/3
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
3100%Yes3/0
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
3100%Yes3/0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
3100%No0/3
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
3100%Yes3/0
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?
3100%No0/3
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?
3100%No0/3
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
3100%No0/3
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
3100%Yes3/0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?
3100%No0/3
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
3100%Yes3/3
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
3100%No0/3
Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?
3100%Yes3/1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 20, 2026?
3100%Yes3/3
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
3100%Yes3/0
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?
3100%Yes3/0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?
3100%No0/3
Markets where several members hold the same side

Timing and similarity

Avg funding gap
—
Shortest funding gap
—
Pairs funded within 24h
0
Funded pairs
0
Wallet pairs compared
3
Avg Jaccard similarity
0.84
Same-side markets per pair
1,298

Funding links

0
None reported

Same-side betting

20
marketIdquestionsidememberCountmemberPct
1,283,560Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?yes3100
1,278,915Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?yes3100
1,284,105Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?yes3100
1,607,245Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?yes3100
1,236,271Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?yes3100
1,322,979Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?yes3100
614,257Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?yes3100
679,719Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?yes3100
1,438,625Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?no3100
1,124,643Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?yes3100
1,449,720Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?yes3100
897,8439.0 or above earthquake before 2027?no3100
941,544José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?yes3100
665,353Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?yes3100
692,299Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?yes3100
1,283,393Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?no3100
1,485,701Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?no3100
1,509,626Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by April 30, 2026?yes3100
1,259,282Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?yes3100
692,286Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?yes3100