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DiscoverTradersSignalsAnalysisWatchlist
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DiscoverTradersSignalsAnalysisWatchlist
Source-reported analytics. Coverage varies by venue and dataset.API docsEnterprise
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Market correlations

Pairwise correlation of Polymarket price series over 1, 7 or 30 days: find markets that hedge or duplicate each other.

Markets15
Pairs105
Strongest-0.93
Window7d

Correlation matrix

reported price series
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
1.Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
.3
.4
.6
-.9
-.8
-.6
-.9
-.5
.7
.9
.9
.6
-.5
.8
2.Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
.3
.4
.3
-.1
-.6
-.6
-.4
-.7
.4
.1
.1
.5
.1
.3
3.US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
.4
.4
.2
-.2
-.5
-.4
-.5
-.5
.5
.3
.4
.3
.1
.4
4.Iran leadership change by October 31?
.6
.3
.2
-.5
-.5
-.5
-.6
-.5
.6
.5
.6
.6
-.2
.7
5.Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-.9
-.1
-.2
-.5
.6
.6
.8
.5
-.6
-.8
-.9
-.7
.6
-.8
6.Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
-.8
-.6
-.5
-.5
.6
.8
.9
.7
-.7
-.6
-.7
-.7
.2
-.7
7.Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
-.6
-.6
-.4
-.5
.6
.8
.7
.8
-.7
-.4
-.5
-.7
.2
-.7
8.Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
-.9
-.4
-.5
-.6
.8
.9
.7
.6
-.7
-.9
-.8
-.6
.4
-.8
9.Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
-.5
-.7
-.5
-.5
.5
.7
.8
.6
-.8
-.3
-.5
-.8
.1
-.7
10.US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
.7
.4
.5
.6
-.6
-.7
-.7
-.7
-.8
.6
.7
.7
-.3
.9
11.Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
.9
.1
.3
.5
-.8
-.6
-.4
-.9
-.3
.6
.9
.4
-.4
.7
12.Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
.9
.1
.4
.6
-.9
-.7
-.5
-.8
-.5
.7
.9
.6
-.6
.8
13.Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?
.6
.5
.3
.6
-.7
-.7
-.7
-.6
-.8
.7
.4
.6
-.4
.8
14.Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
-.5
.1
.1
-.2
.6
.2
.2
.4
.1
-.3
-.4
-.6
-.4
-.3
15.US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
.8
.3
.4
.7
-.8
-.7
-.7
-.8
-.7
.9
.7
.8
.8
-.3
−1+1· Numbers index the rows; hover a cell for the pair
Market AMarket B
1Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.93
2Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?0.91
3Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.91
4Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.90
5Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?0.89
6Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?−0.87
7Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.86
8Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?−0.86
9US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?0.85
10Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?−0.84
11US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.82
12Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?0.82
13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.81
14Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?−0.80
15Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?−0.80
16US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.79
17Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?0.79
18Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.79
19US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?0.78
20Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?0.77
21Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?−0.76
22Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?0.75
23Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?0.75
24US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.75
25Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.74
26Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.73
27Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?−0.73
28US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?0.73
29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.72
30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.72
31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?0.72
32Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?−0.71
33Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?0.70
34US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?−0.70
35Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?−0.69
36US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.69
37Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?−0.68
38Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?−0.68
39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.67
40Iran leadership change by October 31?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?0.65
41Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?−0.65
42Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.64
43Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.64
44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?−0.64
45Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?0.62
46Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.62
47Iran leadership change by October 31?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?0.62
48Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.62
49Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?0.60
50Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?0.59
51Iran leadership change by October 31?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.59
52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?0.58
53Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?−0.57
54Iran leadership change by October 31?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?0.56
55Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.56
56Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?−0.56
57Iran leadership change by October 31?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.56
58Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Iran leadership change by October 31?0.56
59Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?0.55
60Iran leadership change by October 31?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.54
61Iran leadership change by October 31?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.54
62US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.54
63Iran leadership change by October 31?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?−0.54
64US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?0.53
65Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?−0.52
66Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.51
67US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?−0.50
68Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?−0.50
69Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.49
70Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?−0.49
71US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.49
72Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.49
73Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Iran leadership change by October 31?−0.49
74Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Iran leadership change by October 31?0.45
75US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?0.45
76Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.45
77Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?−0.45
78US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.44
79US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.43
80US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?−0.42
81Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?−0.40
82Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?−0.40
83Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?0.40
84Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?0.39
85Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?0.37
86US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.35
87US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.35
88Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?0.35
89Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−0.31
90Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?−0.28
91US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?0.28
92Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.28
93Iran leadership change by October 31?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.26
94Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?−0.26
95Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?0.25
96Iran leadership change by October 31?US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?0.24
97Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Iran leadership change by October 31?−0.19
98Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?0.19
99Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?−0.18
100Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.13
101Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?0.11
102Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.10
103Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?0.10
104Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?−0.09
105Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?0.09
Near +1 moved together, near −1 opposite; zero often means too few overlapping observations