2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
24h volume$3.4K+1.9%
Total volume$182.1K
Liquidity$561.2K
Open interest$21.9K
Expires—
Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity
| Outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats 8-10%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | 29% | 29¢71¢ | |
| Democrats 10-12%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? | 23% | 23¢78¢ | |
| Democrats 6-8%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | 16% | 16¢84¢ | |
| Democrats 12-14%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? | 13% | 13¢87¢ | |
| Democrats 4-6%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | 8% | 8¢93¢ | |
| Democrats 14-16%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? | 4% | 4¢96¢ | |
| Democrats 16%+Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? | 4% | 4¢96¢ | |
| Democrats 2-4%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | 4% | 4¢96¢ | |
| Republicans 0-2%Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | 2% | 2¢98¢ | |
| Democrats 0-2%Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | 2% | 2¢99¢ | |
| Republicans 2-4%Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | 1% | 1¢99¢ | |
| Republicans 4-6%Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | 1% | 1¢99¢ | |
| Republicans 6%+Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more? | 1% | 1¢99¢ | |
| OtherWill any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | 46% | 46¢55¢ | — |
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
14 outcomesOrder book
Intelligence
29¢71¢
Holders
No holder split reported
Largest holders
- GayPride0x551e…b0e0$436.23Yes
- cowcat0x38e5…95e7$403.99No
- andy290xa75c…895e$269.81Yes
- GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f$259.84Yes
- RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9$145Yes
Notable wallets
| Side | Whales | Smart money | Insiders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |
WhaleSmart moneyInsider
Summary
Loading
Contract
- Event id
- 215753
- Markets
- 14
- Created
- Feb 19, 00:29 UTC
- Ends
- Nov 4, 04:59 UTC
- Condition
- 0x5db0b6a0…
- Structure
- Neg risk
DemocratsMidtermsPoliticsElectionsHouse Of RepresentativesRepublicansMovGeopolitics