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Discover/How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?Polymarket

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

24h volume$153.290.0%
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$130.9K
Open interest$16.2K
Expires—

Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity

Outcome
8Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?69%69¢32¢—$329.8K$535.61Jan 1, 2027
9Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?21%21¢79¢$17$125.2K$6.0KJan 1, 2027
10Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?3%3¢97¢—$34.4K$22.8KJan 1, 2027
11Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?2%2¢98¢—$31.3K$19.3KJan 1, 2027
12Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?<1%<1¢100¢—$50.8K$21.0KJan 1, 2027
13Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$104.4K$24.8KJan 1, 2027
15+Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$132.1K$21.7KJan 1, 2027
14Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$136.30$154.7K$14.2KJan 1, 2027
6Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 6 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$544.3K$0Dec 31
7Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$62.0K$0Dec 31
1Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 1 country in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$60.4K$0Dec 31
3Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 3 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$58.9K$0Dec 31
2Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 2 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$31.1K$0Dec 31
0Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 0 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$9.5K$0Dec 31
4Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 4 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$0$0Dec 31
5Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 5 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$0$0Dec 31
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
16 outcomes

Order book

Intelligence

<1¢100¢
Holders
No holder split reported
Largest holders
Data is behind · Updated Nov 1, 10:20 UTC; rows may be out of date
  • joh454h0x61d5…8de9$94.48No
  • elmawsq20xb3e1…f6de$79.56No
  • Oblonsky0x9dce…1fe5$50.03No
  • abramovich00xf67c…2886$49.73No
  • Elias.ThornwellWhale · Large portfolioSmart money · Strong record0xa667…ceb3$27.62No
Notable wallets
SideWhalesSmart moneyInsiders
Yes———
No———
WhaleSmart moneyInsider
Summary
Loading
Contract
Event id
79932
Markets
16
Created
Nov 13, 2025, 16:26 UTC
Ends
Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
Condition
0xabb74975…
Structure
Neg-risk · Shared collateral group Neg risk
StrikeForeign PolicyWorldGeopolitics