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Discover/How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?Polymarket

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

24h volume$302.070.0%
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$130.4K
Open interest$16.0K
Expires—

Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity

Outcome
8Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?69%69¢32¢—$329.8K$542.50Jan 1, 2027
9Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?21%21¢79¢$17$125.2K$6.1KJan 1, 2027
10Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?3%3¢97¢$38.28$34.5K$23.0KJan 1, 2027
11Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?3%3¢97¢$4.64$31.3K$19.2KJan 1, 2027
12Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?1%1¢99¢$13.80$50.8K$20.9KJan 1, 2027
13Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$104.4K$24.8KJan 1, 2027
15+Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$40.72$132.2K$21.6KJan 1, 2027
14Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$187.64$154.8K$14.1KJan 1, 2027
6Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 6 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$544.3K$0Dec 31
7Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$62.0K$0Dec 31
1Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 1 country in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$60.4K$0Dec 31
3Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 3 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$58.9K$0Dec 31
2Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 2 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$31.1K$0Dec 31
0Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 0 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$9.5K$0Dec 31
4Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 4 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$0$0Dec 31
5Resolved · Outcome settledWill the US strike 5 countries in 2026?0%0¢100¢—$0$0Dec 31
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
16 outcomes

Order book

Intelligence

<1¢>99¢
Holders
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Largest holders
  • warptrading0x6f08…54d3$241.20No
  • LiquidifierWhale · Large portfolio0x4818…bf0b$99.70No
  • TheOne777Smart money · Strong record0x2b62…438c$69.30No
  • Elias.ThornwellWhale · Large portfolioSmart money · Strong record0xa667…ceb3$58.30No
  • Oblonsky0x9dce…1fe5$50.18No
Summary
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Contract
Event id
79932
Markets
16
Created
Nov 13, 2025, 16:26 UTC
Ends
Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
Condition
0xf06d28ca…
Structure
Neg-risk · Shared collateral group Neg risk
StrikeForeign PolicyWorldGeopolitics