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Discover/How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

24h volume$36.6K+0.1%
Total volume$55.2M
Liquidity$3.4M
Open interest$1.9M
Expires—

Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity

Outcome
0 (0 bps)Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?97%97¢3¢$19.7K$9.3M$300.4KJan 1, 2027
1 (25 bps)Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?1%1¢99¢$1.4K$3.7M$96.8KJan 1, 2027
2 (50 bps)Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?1%1¢100¢$717.58$3.5M$116.5KJan 1, 2027
12+ (300+ bps)Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$13.1K$4.2M$108.6KJan 1, 2027
3 (75 bps)Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$173.35$3.0M$273.5KJan 1, 2027
4 (100 bps)Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$1.5K$2.8M$195.8KJan 1, 2027
11 (275 bps)Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$13.20$5.3M$496.5KJan 1, 2027
10 (250 bps)Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$2.90$5.0M$503.0KJan 1, 2027
9 (225 bps)Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢$5.50$4.3M$472.6KJan 1, 2027
6 (150 bps)Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$4.2M$146.2KJan 1, 2027
7 (175 bps)Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$3.5M$167.6KJan 1, 2027
8 (200 bps)Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$3.3M$287.2KJan 1, 2027
5 (125 bps)Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<1%<1¢>99¢—$3.0M$230.3KJan 1, 2027
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
13 outcomes

Order book

Intelligence

1¢99¢
Holders
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Largest holders
  • TheReturnOfDarthMaulWhale · Large portfolioSmart money · Strong record0x3a8a…7699$26.6KNo
  • 0xheavy888Whale · Large portfolio0xec98…afcd$14.8KNo
  • baran-ludomanWhale · Large portfolio0xc0bf…2032$8.0KNo
  • Odysseus.0x60ab…3206$1.2KYes
  • fur-fox0x03d5…97af$1.0KYes
Summary
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Contract
Event id
51456
Markets
13
Created
Sep 29, 2025, 22:29 UTC
Ends
Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
Condition
0x5e082f0b…
Structure
Neg-risk · Shared collateral group Neg risk
GeopoliticsFinanceEconomic PolicyBusinessEconomy