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Discover/How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary? Polymarket

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

24h volume$5.04
Total volume$115.1K
Liquidity$23.2K
Open interest$8.1K

Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity

Outcome
4-6Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?90%90¢11¢$5.04$45.6K$11.4K—
7-9Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?3%3¢97¢—$8.9K$12.6K—
≤3Resolved · Outcome settledWill Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?0%0¢100¢—$38.8K$0—
10-12Resolved · Outcome settledWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?0%0¢100¢—$8.9K$0—
13-15Resolved · Outcome settledWill Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?0%0¢100¢—$6.5K$0—
>15Resolved · Outcome settledWill Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?0%0¢100¢—$6.4K$0—
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
6 outcomes

Order book

Intelligence

90¢11¢
Holders
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Largest holders
Data is behind · Updated Nov 1, 11:11 UTC; rows may be out of date
  • SnapElectionAvoiderWhale · Large portfolio0xb1ca…1705$3.2KYes
  • 0x9a46…1d99$1.7KYes
  • Arman20x9453…1a48$819.18Yes
  • neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe$280.22Yes
  • ancianoWhale · Large portfolio0xa8b7…ee3c$161.21Yes
Summary
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Contract
Event id
133793
Markets
6
Created
Jan 14, 19:57 UTC
Ends
—
Condition
0xfe9d1a32…
Structure
Neg-risk · Shared collateral group Neg risk
PoliticsPrimariesElections