Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

24h volume$28.0K+18%

Total volume$176.8K

Liquidity$469.4K

Open interest$35.5K

Expires—

Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity

Outcome
Talarico 0-3%Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	31%	31¢70¢	$8.7K	$35.3K	$61.4K	Nov 4
Talarico 3-6%Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	26%	26¢74¢	$5.5K	$27.2K	$44.7K	Nov 4
Paxton 0-3%Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	16%	16¢84¢	$8.4K	$26.0K	$45.1K	Nov 4
Talarico 6-9%Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	12%	12¢88¢	$684.65	$13.9K	$43.0K	Nov 4
Paxton 3-6%Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	7%	7¢94¢	$1.2K	$29.8K	$47.3K	Nov 4
Paxton 6-9%Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	4%	4¢96¢	$1.5K	$11.5K	$47.1K	Nov 4
Talarico 9-12%Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	3%	3¢97¢	$80.70	$6.7K	$43.9K	Nov 4
Paxton 9-12%Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	3%	3¢97¢	$629.73	$7.8K	$46.6K	Nov 4
Talarico 12%+Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	2%	2¢98¢	$441.70	$8.1K	$46.9K	Nov 4
Paxton 12%+Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	2%	2¢98¢	$851.04	$10.5K	$44.3K	Nov 4
OtherWill a candidate not listed above win the 2026 Texas Senate election?	50%	50¢50¢	$0	$0	$0	Nov 3
Person AWill Person A win the 2026 Texas Senate election?	50%	50¢50¢	$0	$0	$0	Nov 3

ClosedBars scale to the largest row

12 outcomes

Order book

31¢70¢

Holders

Largest holders

Summary

Contract

MidtermsPoliticsElectionsMidtermmovTexas MidtermMargin Of VictoryKey Midterm Margins