Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
24h volume$3.6K+0.1%
Total volume$3.8M
Liquidity$236.8K
Open interest$264.0K
Expires—
Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity
| Outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | 90% | 90¢11¢ | |
| 2Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | 9% | 9¢92¢ | |
| 3Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | <1% | <1¢>99¢ | |
| 5Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | <1% | <1¢>99¢ | — |
| 6 or lowerWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | <1% | <1¢>99¢ | — |
| 4Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | <1% | <1¢>99¢ | — |
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
6 outcomesOrder book
Intelligence
90¢11¢
Holders
No holder split reported
Largest holders
Data is behind · Updated Nov 1, 07:56 UTC; rows may be out of date
- russell1103200x1186…051b$73.4KYes
- flawfence0x23d8…0288$38.2KYes
- SS1230xf063…7893$22.6KYes
- balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d$19.1KYes
- gopfan20xf2f6…5817$14.2KYes
Notable wallets
| Side | Whales | Smart money | Insiders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |
WhaleSmart moneyInsider
Summary
Loading
Contract
- Event id
- 79905
- Markets
- 6
- Created
- Nov 12, 2025, 22:54 UTC
- Ends
- Mar 2, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- Condition
- 0xe67f4d31…
- Structure
- Neg risk
ScienceCultureGlobal TempWeather