Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
24h volume$3.7K+0.1%
Total volume$2.0M
Liquidity$318.1K
Open interest$93.8K
Expires—
Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity
| Outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ishaq DarWill Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 43% | 43¢75¢ | |
| Majid Takht-RavanchiWill Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 43% | 43¢75¢ | |
| Abbas AraghchiWill Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 42% | 42¢59¢ | |
| Steve WitkoffWill Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 40% | 40¢60¢ | |
| Jared KushnerWill Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 40% | 40¢61¢ | |
| Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al ThaniWill Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 37% | 37¢63¢ | |
| Mohammad Bagher GhalibafWill Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 30% | 30¢70¢ | |
| Kazem GharibabadiWill Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 27% | 27¢46¢ | |
| Badr bin Hamad Al BusaidiWill Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 26% | 26¢74¢ | |
| J.D. VanceWill J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 26% | 26¢75¢ | |
| Rafael GrossiWill Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 19% | 19¢82¢ | |
| Nick StewartWill Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 16% | 16¢85¢ | |
| Donald TrumpWill Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 11% | 11¢89¢ | |
| Masoud PezeshkianWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 11% | 11¢89¢ | |
| Marco RubioWill Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 11% | 11¢90¢ | — |
| Melania TrumpWill Melania Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 6% | 6¢95¢ | — |
| Newt GingrichWill Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 5% | 5¢95¢ | — |
| Pete HegsethWill Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 5% | 5¢96¢ | — |
| Ahmad VahidiWill Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 4% | 4¢96¢ | — |
| Elon MuskWill Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 4% | 4¢96¢ | — |
| Esmail QaaniWill Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 3% | 3¢97¢ | — |
| Mojtaba KhameneiWill Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 2% | 2¢98¢ | — |
| Palmer LuckeyWill Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 2% | 2¢98¢ | |
| Mohammed bin SalmanWill Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 2% | 2¢98¢ | — |
| Jared KushnerWill Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 100% | 100¢0¢ | — |
| Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al ThaniWill Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 100% | 100¢0¢ | — |
| Steve WitkoffWill Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 100% | 100¢0¢ | — |
| Abbas AraghchiWill Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 100% | 100¢0¢ | — |
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
28 outcomesOrder book
Intelligence
43¢75¢
Holders
No holder split reported
Largest holders
Data is behind · Updated Nov 1, 08:09 UTC; rows may be out of date
- 0xc7d0…1f8a$399.90Yes
- paddaa0x60a9…5a71$328.57No
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418$280.01No
- 0x275c…6090$201.25No
- autisem0xea41…1c98$197.64No
Notable wallets
| Side | Whales | Smart money | Insiders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |
WhaleSmart moneyInsider
Summary
Loading
Contract
- Event id
- 841086
- Markets
- 28
- Created
- Aug 12, 23:17 UTC
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- Condition
- 0x19511a0e…
GeopoliticsPoliticsPeace Deal