Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | 1.7K | 34¢ | 48¢ | $796.8 | — |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | 245 | 32¢ | 82¢ | $199.67 | — |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | 160 | 30¢ | 50¢ | $80 | — |
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | 55 | 65¢ | 92¢ | $50.6 | — |
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes | 70 | 34¢ | 70¢ | $49.28 | — |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | 245.01 | 26¢ | 16¢ | $37.98 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 5¢ | 25¢ | $37.88 | — |
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 165 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $28.22 | — |
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes | 70 | 3¢ | 29¢ | $20.2 | — |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 165 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $19.06 | — |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | 245 | 36¢ | 5¢ | $12.25 | — |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 165 | 15¢ | 7¢ | $11.3 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | 18.8 | 31¢ | 36¢ | $6.67 | — |
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 165 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $5.12 | — |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes | 15 | 45¢ | 27¢ | $4.05 | — |
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 165 | 4¢ | 2¢ | $3.96 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 3¢ | 2¢ | $3.52 | — |
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | 55 | 8¢ | 5¢ | $2.78 | — |
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Yes | 25 | 31¢ | 11¢ | $2.75 | — |
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | 1.7K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $2.49 | — |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 165 | 4¢ | 1¢ | $1.98 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 5 | 36¢ | 36¢ | $1.77 | — |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Yes | 15 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $1.66 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | 18.8 | 16¢ | 7¢ | $1.35 | — |
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?Yes | 25 | 18¢ | 5¢ | $1.15 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | 18.8 | 17¢ | 5¢ | $0.98 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 5 | 22¢ | 20¢ | $0.98 | — |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Yes | 25 | 7¢ | 4¢ | $0.88 | — |
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?Yes | 25 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $0.76 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 5 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $0.75 | — |
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | 55 | 13¢ | 1¢ | $0.6 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 12¢ | <1¢ | $0.6 | — |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?Yes | 15 | 11¢ | 4¢ | $0.55 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.53 | — |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | 50 | 10¢ | 1¢ | $0.53 | — |
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?Yes | 25 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $0.45 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.38 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.38 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.38 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 5 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $0.3 | — |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?Yes | 15 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.24 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 4¢ | <1¢ | $0.23 | — |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | 50 | 4¢ | <1¢ | $0.2 | — |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 50 | 5¢ | <1¢ | $0.18 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 2¢ | <1¢ | $0.15 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 5 | 3¢ | 2¢ | $0.09 | — |
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | 55 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.08 | — |
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | 55 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.08 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | 150 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.07 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 5 | 3¢ | 1¢ | $0.03 | — |