Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No | 22.49 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $20.84 | — |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 20.08 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $19.36 | — |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | 15.47 | 69¢ | 87¢ | $13.39 | — |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | 15 | 64¢ | 89¢ | $13.28 | — |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 13.08 | 80¢ | 95¢ | $12.36 | — |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 10 | 78¢ | 97¢ | $9.7 | — |
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | 10 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $9.6 | — |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | 15 | 66¢ | 64¢ | $9.53 | — |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | 9.88 | 93¢ | 94¢ | $9.27 | — |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | 9.89 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $8.95 | — |
Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 10 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $8.65 | — |
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | 7.5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $7.21 | — |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | 7.51 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $6.91 | — |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | 5.05 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $4.81 | — |
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?No | 5 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $4.63 | — |
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?No | 4.93 | 75¢ | 90¢ | $4.44 | — |
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | 5.08 | 66¢ | 84¢ | $4.24 | — |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?No | 5.07 | 72¢ | 79¢ | $4 | — |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | 5.13 | 77¢ | 55¢ | $2.8 | — |
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Yes | 5.42 | 27¢ | 47¢ | $2.52 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | 10.29 | 34¢ | 24¢ | $2.42 | — |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | 6.08 | 24¢ | 27¢ | $1.65 | — |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 7.63 | 56¢ | 14¢ | $1.07 | — |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | 8.33 | 12¢ | 9¢ | $0.71 | — |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | 5.04 | 88¢ | 13¢ | $0.68 | — |
Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes | 2.3 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $0.53 | — |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | 5 | 25¢ | 9¢ | $0.45 | — |