Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | 13.58 | 20¢ | 98¢ | $13.28 | — |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?No | 20 | 24¢ | 36¢ | $7.2 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes | 60 | 18¢ | 11¢ | $6.42 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes | 24.58 | 12¢ | 22¢ | $5.35 | — |
Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?Yes | 49.86 | 15¢ | 9¢ | $4.66 | — |
Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?Yes | 19.95 | 17¢ | 21¢ | $4.09 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?Yes | 20 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $3.44 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 10%-15%?Yes | 20.1 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $3.09 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes | 42.28 | 10¢ | 5¢ | $2.03 | — |
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31?Yes | 60 | 13¢ | 3¢ | $2.01 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election?Yes | 60 | 6¢ | 3¢ | $1.98 | — |
Will Shailene Woodley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 60 | 13¢ | 3¢ | $1.92 | — |
Will Wes Streeting be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes | 50 | 12¢ | 4¢ | $1.75 | — |
Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 46 | 15¢ | 4¢ | $1.7 | — |
Will Louise Haigh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes | 50 | 12¢ | 3¢ | $1.63 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?Yes | 60 | 16¢ | 2¢ | $1.38 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 6¢ | $1.25 | — |
Will "The Whisper Man" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 60 | 17¢ | 2¢ | $1.05 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes | 4 | 20¢ | 26¢ | $1.02 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 18%-21%?Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 5¢ | $0.93 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 0%-20%?Yes | 20 | 15¢ | 4¢ | $0.83 | — |
Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Yes | 60 | 19¢ | 1¢ | $0.72 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 12%-15%?Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 3¢ | $0.68 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 8,800,000 and 9,200,000?Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 3¢ | $0.66 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 80%-85%?Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 3¢ | $0.64 | — |
Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida?Yes | 12.24 | 18¢ | 5¢ | $0.61 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 0%-10%?Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 3¢ | $0.55 | — |
Will "Saturn Return" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 6.96 | 16¢ | 7¢ | $0.45 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000?Yes | 20 | 17¢ | 2¢ | $0.44 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 45%-50%?Yes | 13.4 | 11¢ | 3¢ | $0.43 | — |
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 2¢ | $0.4 | — |
Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 2¢ | $0.4 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 15%-18%?Yes | 7.02 | 14¢ | 5¢ | $0.38 | — |
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?Yes | 60 | 14¢ | 1¢ | $0.36 | — |
Will FPS win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes | 7.74 | 15¢ | 4¢ | $0.33 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes | 6 | 13¢ | 3¢ | $0.2 | — |
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government?Yes | 19.98 | 9¢ | 1¢ | $0.16 | — |
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?Yes | 2.25 | 17¢ | 7¢ | $0.15 | — |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31?Yes | 3.18 | 17¢ | 5¢ | $0.14 | — |
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | 5.01 | 8¢ | 2¢ | $0.12 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes | 0.6 | 9¢ | 16¢ | $0.1 | — |
Will Avi Dichter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes | 4 | 13¢ | 2¢ | $0.06 | — |
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | 3.01 | 18¢ | 2¢ | $0.06 | — |
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be below 13%?Yes | 1.25 | 18¢ | 3¢ | $0.04 | — |
Will Listen win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 15.03 | 10¢ | <1¢ | $0.02 | — |
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes | 4.99 | 6¢ | <1¢ | $0.0075 | — |