Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Yes | 123.15 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $118.78 | — |
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | 130.31 | 52¢ | 79¢ | $102.29 | — |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 139.89 | 71¢ | 62¢ | $86.03 | — |
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | 70.33 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $68.71 | — |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | 91.01 | 95¢ | 72¢ | $65.48 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | 439.58 | 18¢ | 14¢ | $59.34 | — |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 92.31 | 47¢ | 63¢ | $57.7 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No | 60.3 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $55.78 | — |
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?No | 53.08 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $52.63 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | 61.44 | 52¢ | 79¢ | $48.23 | — |
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes | 56.58 | 84¢ | 82¢ | $46.59 | — |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 52.13 | 79¢ | 80¢ | $41.44 | — |
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | 1.0K | 9¢ | 4¢ | $41.4 | — |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 55.56 | 63¢ | 71¢ | $39.17 | — |
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | 40.23 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $37.21 | — |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 50 | 45¢ | 56¢ | $28.25 | — |
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes | 111.36 | 22¢ | 25¢ | $27.28 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes | 72.82 | 39¢ | 37¢ | $26.94 | — |
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?No | 23.18 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $23.07 | — |
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Yes | 154.86 | 12¢ | 15¢ | $22.61 | — |
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Yes | 41.84 | 33¢ | 36¢ | $14.85 | — |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Yes | 37.79 | 21¢ | 36¢ | $13.58 | — |
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?No | 12.67 | 98¢ | 97¢ | $12.3 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | 13.58 | 92¢ | 91¢ | $12.29 | — |
Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No | 10.87 | 99¢ | >99¢ | $10.82 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | 12.5 | 72¢ | 84¢ | $10.44 | — |
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | 54.2 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $9.49 | — |
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Yes | 10.69 | 84¢ | 83¢ | $8.82 | — |
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Yes | 17.86 | 28¢ | 45¢ | $7.95 | — |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | 10.18 | 88¢ | 76¢ | $7.74 | — |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?No | 12.05 | 85¢ | 64¢ | $7.72 | — |
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 25 | 17¢ | 29¢ | $7.32 | — |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 11.9 | 42¢ | 53¢ | $6.31 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6.94 | 72¢ | 89¢ | $6.16 | — |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 8.44 | 64¢ | 72¢ | $6.03 | — |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | 6.76 | 74¢ | 87¢ | $5.89 | — |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | 6.67 | 75¢ | 87¢ | $5.8 | — |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Yes | 7.6 | 47¢ | 54¢ | $4.11 | — |
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 111.36 | 7¢ | 4¢ | $4.06 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 5.22 | 67¢ | 74¢ | $3.84 | — |
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?No | 6.46 | 76¢ | 56¢ | $3.59 | — |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | 3.93 | 89¢ | 76¢ | $2.99 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No | 17.86 | 28¢ | 17¢ | $2.95 | — |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?No | 2.75 | 76¢ | 93¢ | $2.55 | — |
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | 3.65 | 65¢ | 59¢ | $2.15 | — |
Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?No | 2.15 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $2.05 | — |
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?No | 2.05 | 97¢ | 95¢ | $1.96 | — |
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?No | 2.8 | 66¢ | 65¢ | $1.8 | — |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Yes | 18.18 | 22¢ | 7¢ | $1.33 | — |
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?No | 1.16 | 78¢ | 81¢ | $0.93 | — |