Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?No | 705.72 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $671.14 | — |
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?No | 632.22 | 88¢ | 79¢ | $498.51 | — |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?No | 503.23 | 87¢ | 81¢ | $405.1 | — |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | 403.76 | 83¢ | 77¢ | $310.9 | — |
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | 839.83 | 92¢ | 33¢ | $274.2 | — |
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | 290.55 | 82¢ | 87¢ | $252.78 | — |
AI bubble burst in 2026?No | 258.83 | 91¢ | 90¢ | $233.98 | — |
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes | 212.02 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $200.36 | — |
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | 429.34 | 85¢ | 20¢ | $83.72 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes | 104.21 | 63¢ | 73¢ | $75.55 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?No | 66.26 | 91¢ | 88¢ | $58.31 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | 247.09 | 37¢ | 22¢ | $54.36 | — |
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | 230.53 | 16¢ | 18¢ | $40.34 | — |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Yes | 330.15 | 15¢ | 12¢ | $39.62 | — |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No | 50.71 | 88¢ | 78¢ | $39.56 | — |
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes | 61.55 | 81¢ | 42¢ | $25.85 | — |
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes | 166.16 | 13¢ | 5¢ | $8.06 | — |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes | 138.5 | 21¢ | 5¢ | $6.79 | — |
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | 120 | 8¢ | 5¢ | $5.46 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes | 23.57 | 13¢ | 18¢ | $4.12 | — |
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No | 4.28 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $3.78 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?No | 261.38 | 5¢ | 1¢ | $3.66 | — |
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?Yes | 2.95 | 92¢ | 88¢ | $2.59 | — |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | 220 | 8¢ | 1¢ | $2.42 | — |
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No | 0.54 | 87¢ | 85¢ | $0.46 | — |