Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes | 277.53 | 94¢ | 91¢ | $251.58 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | 395.81 | 64¢ | 53¢ | $207.8 | — |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | 183.42 | 86¢ | 96¢ | $175.99 | — |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?No | 178.62 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $171.21 | — |
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | 799.26 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $146.26 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 142.73 | 92¢ | 94¢ | $133.45 | — |
Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?No | 90 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $85.36 | — |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 144 | 81¢ | 56¢ | $81.29 | — |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | 66 | 85¢ | 85¢ | $55.77 | — |
Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?No | 50 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $49.28 | — |
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No | 50 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $47.8 | — |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | 96.31 | 64¢ | 50¢ | $47.67 | — |
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?No | 48.19 | 75¢ | 85¢ | $40.72 | — |
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?No | 46 | 82¢ | 87¢ | $39.79 | — |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 42.2 | 71¢ | 81¢ | $33.97 | — |
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?No | 97 | 25¢ | 22¢ | $20.86 | — |
Any G20 leader out in 2026?No | 23.57 | 85¢ | 85¢ | $20.03 | — |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?No | 20 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $18.94 | — |
Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | 21 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $18.9 | — |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | 20 | 81¢ | 94¢ | $18.8 | — |
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?No | 19.09 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $18.07 | — |
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 40 | 33¢ | 45¢ | $17.96 | — |
Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?No | 18.65 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $17.81 | — |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 27.5 | 80¢ | 54¢ | $14.71 | — |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | 1.1K | 1¢ | 1¢ | $13.6 | — |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 20 | 52¢ | 64¢ | $12.89 | — |
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?No | 9.86 | 82¢ | 93¢ | $9.17 | — |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | 186 | 9¢ | 5¢ | $8.37 | — |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 49 | 29¢ | 16¢ | $7.6 | — |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | 39.9 | 18¢ | 16¢ | $6.18 | — |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 394.31 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5.91 | — |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | 60 | 16¢ | 10¢ | $5.7 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | 10 | 59¢ | 56¢ | $5.65 | — |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 10 | 57¢ | 46¢ | $4.63 | — |
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?No | 5 | 95¢ | 92¢ | $4.59 | — |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | 4.6 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $4.54 | — |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes | 50.1 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $3.51 | — |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | 40 | 24¢ | 8¢ | $3.2 | — |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?No | 10 | 31¢ | 30¢ | $2.95 | — |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | 34.73 | 19¢ | 6¢ | $1.91 | — |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | 5 | 64¢ | 33¢ | $1.63 | — |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes | 70 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $0.88 | — |
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | 30 | 15¢ | 3¢ | $0.84 | — |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 6¢ | 4¢ | $0.75 | — |
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 10 | 11¢ | 5¢ | $0.48 | — |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 13 | 33¢ | 4¢ | $0.47 | — |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 68 | 18¢ | 1¢ | $0.44 | — |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | 8.25 | 6¢ | 5¢ | $0.43 | — |