Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 9.1K | 83¢ | 71¢ | $6.5K | — |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | 5.8K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $5.7K | — |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | 6.1K | 68¢ | 85¢ | $5.2K | — |
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Yes | 3.7K | 82¢ | 88¢ | $3.2K | — |
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 3.5K | 57¢ | 72¢ | $2.5K | — |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Yes | 2.8K | 58¢ | 71¢ | $1.9K | — |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 6.1K | 19¢ | 28¢ | $1.7K | — |
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 1.5K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.4K | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 1.7K | 45¢ | 69¢ | $1.1K | — |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 1.1K | 50¢ | 89¢ | $1.0K | — |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 1.6K | 49¢ | 62¢ | $979.01 | — |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 1.1K | 63¢ | 82¢ | $880.09 | — |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | 1.8K | 37¢ | 41¢ | $736.52 | — |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | 734.24 | 72¢ | 96¢ | $707.8 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | 632.62 | 75¢ | 98¢ | $617.75 | — |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | 1.7K | 30¢ | 32¢ | $542.29 | — |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 1.1K | 39¢ | 38¢ | $417.94 | — |
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 413.65 | 49¢ | 71¢ | $293.69 | — |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | 1.2K | 23¢ | 23¢ | $269.78 | — |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 285 | 57¢ | 74¢ | $209.47 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | 785.33 | 29¢ | 25¢ | $198.3 | — |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | 3.2K | 84¢ | 6¢ | $188.04 | — |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 200 | 60¢ | 86¢ | $172 | — |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?No | 131 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $127.59 | — |
Will the U.K.'s November 2025 unemployment rate be 5.1%?Yes | 112.58 | 80¢ | 95¢ | $107.12 | — |
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 413 | 39¢ | 25¢ | $101.19 | — |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?Yes | 187 | 28¢ | 39¢ | $72 | — |
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 285 | 32¢ | 21¢ | $59.85 | — |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?Yes | 96.22 | 31¢ | 36¢ | $34.16 | — |
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 200 | 23¢ | 13¢ | $26 | — |
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes | 245.21 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $13.98 | — |
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?Yes | 255 | 15¢ | 5¢ | $11.73 | — |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?Yes | 322.99 | 12¢ | 2¢ | $5.17 | — |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?Yes | 46.1 | 8¢ | 6¢ | $2.93 | — |
Will the U.K.'s November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.9%?Yes | 29.99 | 9¢ | 8¢ | $2.25 | — |
Will the U.K.'s November 2025 unemployment rate be 5.0%?Yes | 29.99 | 9¢ | 3¢ | $0.75 | — |