Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 119.98 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $118.84 | — |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 97.45 | 100¢ | >99¢ | $97.01 | — |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 20.64 | 85¢ | 56¢ | $11.64 | — |
Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?No | 11.67 | 27¢ | 46¢ | $5.37 | — |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 5.2 | >99¢ | >99¢ | $5.19 | — |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 5.2 | >99¢ | >99¢ | $5.19 | — |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 5.2 | >99¢ | >99¢ | $5.19 | — |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 5.2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $5.17 | — |
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No | 5.22 | 90¢ | 81¢ | $4.24 | — |
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No | 4.36 | 96¢ | 94¢ | $4.09 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?No | 5.85 | 39¢ | 65¢ | $3.77 | — |
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No | 5.23 | 71¢ | 72¢ | $3.74 | — |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | 3.27 | 77¢ | 92¢ | $2.99 | — |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No | 3.26 | 97¢ | 89¢ | $2.9 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?No | 2.55 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $2.36 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027?No | 2.55 | 95¢ | 84¢ | $2.13 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?No | 2.16 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $2.11 | — |
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No | 2.1 | >99¢ | >99¢ | $2.1 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?No | 2.16 | 97¢ | 96¢ | $2.06 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?No | 2.12 | 99¢ | 94¢ | $2 | — |
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?No | 1.98 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.79 | — |
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | 1.46 | 72¢ | 99¢ | $1.44 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 30% or more?No | 1.27 | 99¢ | >99¢ | $1.27 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?No | 1.27 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.26 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027?No | 1.28 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1.26 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?No | 1.28 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $1.23 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?No | 1.27 | >99¢ | 92¢ | $1.17 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?No | 1.27 | 99¢ | 92¢ | $1.16 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 15%-18%?No | 1.19 | 95¢ | 92¢ | $1.1 | — |
Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No | 4.77 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $1.1 | — |
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | 1.08 | 97¢ | >99¢ | $1.08 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?No | 1.31 | 80¢ | 81¢ | $1.06 | — |
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | 1.07 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.06 | — |
Will Megan Moroney win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No | 1.05 | >99¢ | >99¢ | $1.05 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?No | 1.28 | 86¢ | 78¢ | $1 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?No | 1.28 | 90¢ | 78¢ | $0.99 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?No | 1.26 | 87¢ | 73¢ | $0.92 | — |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | 1.3 | 81¢ | 70¢ | $0.9 | — |
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsNo | 3.08 | 34¢ | 2¢ | $0.06 | — |