 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | 2.1K | 65¢ | 68¢ | $1.4K | — |
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?No | 1.9K | 61¢ | 64¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No | 1.3K | 83¢ | 84¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No | 1.1K | 87¢ | 91¢ | $1.0K | — |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 1.2K | 79¢ | 86¢ | $1.0K | — |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 1.4K | 71¢ | 66¢ | $936.96 | — |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?No | 795.16 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $756.19 | — |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | 766.66 | 76¢ | 83¢ | $636.33 | — |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?No | 987.5 | 68¢ | 62¢ | $607.31 | — |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No | 660.85 | 77¢ | 89¢ | $584.85 | — |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | 1.5K | 39¢ | 37¢ | $548.62 | — |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 863.34 | 69¢ | 64¢ | $548.22 | — |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?No | 651.28 | 85¢ | 80¢ | $517.77 | — |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No | 552.07 | 88¢ | 93¢ | $513.7 | — |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No | 505.83 | 80¢ | 96¢ | $487.62 | — |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | 513.59 | 75¢ | 94¢ | $482.78 | — |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 624.8 | 59¢ | 73¢ | $457.98 | — |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 412.73 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $369.39 | — |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | 1.3K | 21¢ | 22¢ | $296.39 | — |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $19B by October 31?No | 250.4 | 88¢ | 98¢ | $245.39 | — |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | 249.99 | 90¢ | 91¢ | $226.25 | — |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October?No | 211.61 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $205.68 | — |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 199.99 | 79¢ | 96¢ | $190.99 | — |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes | 166.1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $161.86 | — |
 Modi out by June 30, 2027?No | 177.39 | 71¢ | 90¢ | $158.77 | — |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by October 31?No | 145.01 | 88¢ | 98¢ | $142.62 | — |
 GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?No | 241.86 | 59¢ | 53¢ | $128.18 | — |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?No | 138.15 | 77¢ | 85¢ | $116.74 | — |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20B by October 31?No | 100 | 78¢ | 97¢ | $97.05 | — |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | 114.3 | 72¢ | 78¢ | $88.58 | — |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $167.5B by October 31?No | 88.97 | 74¢ | 94¢ | $83.63 | — |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $127.5B by October 31?Yes | 145.6 | 27¢ | 49¢ | $71.34 | — |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?No | 50.52 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $48.07 | — |
 Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | 34.38 | 84¢ | 90¢ | $30.77 | — |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?No | 20 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $17.7 | — |
 Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?No | 20 | 51¢ | 83¢ | $16.5 | — |
 Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No | 9.46 | 81¢ | 87¢ | $8.18 | — |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | 8.6 | 88¢ | 81¢ | $6.96 | — |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $185B by October 31?Yes | 144 | 24¢ | 4¢ | $5.76 | — |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes | 55 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $4.81 | — |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?Yes | 210 | 2¢ | 1¢ | $1.16 | — |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?Yes | 210 | 2¢ | <1¢ | $0.94 | — |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes | 2.06 | 51¢ | 14¢ | $0.3 | — |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country N before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country P before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country M before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country G before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country F before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country Q before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Country H before 2027?Yes | 300.37 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |