2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | 10.8K | 99¢ | 99¢ | $10.7K | — |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 6.0K | 95¢ | 96¢ | $5.8K | — |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No | 6.0K | 83¢ | 91¢ | $5.5K | — |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 6.5K | 66¢ | 72¢ | $4.7K | — |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 5.2K | 66¢ | 73¢ | $3.7K | — |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 3.6K | 66¢ | 71¢ | $2.6K | — |
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes | 2.9K | 81¢ | 85¢ | $2.5K | — |
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?No | 2.5K | 98¢ | 93¢ | $2.3K | — |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 2.0K | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.9K | — |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 2.5K | 50¢ | 56¢ | $1.4K | — |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | 6.3K | 37¢ | 22¢ | $1.4K | — |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 3.6K | 34¢ | 30¢ | $1.1K | — |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No | 2.8K | 27¢ | 31¢ | $848.87 | — |
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?No | 830.69 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $824.04 | — |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | 710 | 85¢ | 90¢ | $639 | — |
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | 2.5K | 5¢ | 19¢ | $471.85 | — |
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes | 2.9K | 18¢ | 16¢ | $451.38 | — |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 531.67 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $380.14 | — |
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?Yes | 396.22 | 66¢ | 81¢ | $320.94 | — |
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes | 406.1 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $296.45 | — |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 932.81 | 31¢ | 25¢ | $232.74 | — |
Will Company G be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 430.9 | 0¢ | 50¢ | $213.3 | — |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 3.4K | 8¢ | 6¢ | $184.45 | — |
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes | 137.92 | 79¢ | 91¢ | $125.16 | — |
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | 1.2K | 1¢ | 7¢ | $84.13 | — |
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 396.22 | 29¢ | 13¢ | $51.9 | — |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | 880.43 | 7¢ | 5¢ | $47.1 | — |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | 859.41 | 8¢ | 5¢ | $38.67 | — |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | 610.8 | 16¢ | 6¢ | $33.59 | — |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes | 104.47 | 8¢ | 5¢ | $5.22 | — |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?No | 5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $4.97 | — |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No | 5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $4.88 | — |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No | 5 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $4.87 | — |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | 10 | 10¢ | 33¢ | $3.25 | — |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | 284.99 | 6¢ | 1¢ | $2.99 | — |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?No | 5 | 82¢ | 35¢ | $1.73 | — |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | 58.14 | 19¢ | 2¢ | $1.34 | — |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | 284.99 | 3¢ | <1¢ | $1.14 | — |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 284.99 | 8¢ | <1¢ | $1 | — |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes | 58.14 | 2¢ | 1¢ | $0.52 | — |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | 703.2 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.35 | — |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes | 58.14 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.32 | — |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | 17.53 | 14¢ | 1¢ | $0.24 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 74.58 | 0¢ | <1¢ | $0.19 | — |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes | 58.14 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.12 | — |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Yes | 58.14 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.12 | — |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 100 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.1 | — |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 100 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.05 | — |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 100 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.05 | — |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?Yes | 58.14 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.03 | — |