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fefaa
0x3faf…9c93
Realized P&L
+$9.03
Unrealized
−$131.74
Portfolio
$278.58
Win rate
51.7%
178 closed
Open
18
Volume
$302.88
Reported P&L
—
1D
1W
1M
ALL
No P&L history returned
Portfolio
Network
Positions
18
Closed
Activity
Categories
Open positions by current value
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Market
Shares
Entry
Price
Value
Realized
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No
48.67
82¢
96¢
$46.72
—
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No
100
33¢
46¢
$45.5
—
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
No
44
75¢
97¢
$42.72
—
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No
42.26
86¢
97¢
$41.05
—
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Yes
408.48
<1¢
3¢
$13.89
—
Will Truist fail by end of 2026?
No
13.7
73¢
98¢
$13.36
—
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No
11.42
88¢
98¢
$11.24
—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No
12.17
82¢
88¢
$10.72
—
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No
10
81¢
98¢
$9.83
—
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No
10
88¢
95¢
$9.5
—
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
No
10
69¢
80¢
$7.95
—
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
No
8.2
61¢
80¢
$6.52
—
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?
No
5.88
85¢
90¢
$5.26
—
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No
5
91¢
95¢
$4.72
—
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?
No
9.27
36¢
42¢
$3.85
—
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Yes
60.98
8¢
5¢
$2.93
—
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No
2.38
63¢
83¢
$1.96
—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
No
20
18¢
4¢
$0.78
—
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