Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | 11.8K | 78¢ | 81¢ | $9.5K | — |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | 7.2K | 82¢ | 96¢ | $6.9K | — |
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | 7.8K | 78¢ | 84¢ | $6.5K | — |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | 6.4K | 85¢ | 89¢ | $5.7K | — |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | 4.7K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $4.6K | — |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 3.2K | 92¢ | 96¢ | $3.0K | — |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | 1.8K | 85¢ | 90¢ | $1.6K | — |
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No | 1.5K | 99¢ | >99¢ | $1.5K | — |
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes | 1.1K | 92¢ | 95¢ | $1.1K | — |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 1.1K | 94¢ | 93¢ | $1.0K | — |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 4.7K | 50¢ | 18¢ | $843.01 | — |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 1.1K | 42¢ | 41¢ | $458.27 | — |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 907.42 | 55¢ | 43¢ | $390.64 | — |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 424.99 | 68¢ | 83¢ | $350.62 | — |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | 1.7K | 31¢ | 20¢ | $334.26 | — |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No | 472.64 | 68¢ | 71¢ | $333.21 | — |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 816.27 | 50¢ | 39¢ | $314.67 | — |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | 318.65 | 85¢ | 93¢ | $296.35 | — |
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | 200 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $192 | — |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 914.53 | 23¢ | 21¢ | $187.94 | — |
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?No | 200 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $187 | — |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.5K | 6¢ | 4¢ | $133.02 | — |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 5.7K | 3¢ | 2¢ | $111.14 | — |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 5.1K | 1¢ | 2¢ | $103.56 | — |
Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | 111 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $97.51 | — |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 8.2K | 1¢ | 1¢ | $61.66 | — |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 57.1 | 79¢ | 90¢ | $51.1 | — |
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 3.3K | 1¢ | 2¢ | $49.53 | — |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 5.2K | 1¢ | 1¢ | $49.36 | — |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 1.6K | 3¢ | 3¢ | $42.69 | — |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 2.0K | 2¢ | 2¢ | $39.07 | — |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | 354.81 | 13¢ | 9¢ | $31.93 | — |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 712.49 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.29 | — |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 1.1K | 2¢ | 2¢ | $18.89 | — |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 134.81 | 32¢ | 12¢ | $15.5 | — |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 150.08 | 11¢ | 10¢ | $14.41 | — |
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Yes | 127.88 | 16¢ | 9¢ | $11.51 | — |
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 22.2K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $11.11 | — |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 1.5K | 12¢ | 1¢ | $10.05 | — |
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | 4.9K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $7.42 | — |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 400 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $6.2 | — |
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 11.1K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $5.56 | — |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 875.75 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $4.82 | — |
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?No | 4.69 | 81¢ | 96¢ | $4.49 | — |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | 25 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $1.11 | — |