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Traders/knradProfile

knrad

0x4d01…1645
Realized P&L+$34.0K
Unrealized+$1.6K
Portfolio$81.9K
Win rate51.5%1.4K closed
Open45
Volume$16.5K
Reported P&L—
No P&L history returned

Open positions by current value

MarketSharesEntryPriceValueRealized
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No11.8K78¢81¢$9.5K—
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No7.2K82¢96¢$6.9K—
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes7.8K78¢84¢$6.5K—
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No6.4K85¢89¢$5.7K—
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes4.7K94¢97¢$4.6K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo3.2K92¢96¢$3.0K—
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No1.8K85¢90¢$1.6K—
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No1.5K99¢>99¢$1.5K—
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes1.1K92¢95¢$1.1K—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No1.1K94¢93¢$1.0K—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4.7K50¢18¢$843.01—
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.1K42¢41¢$458.27—
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes907.4255¢43¢$390.64—
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No424.9968¢83¢$350.62—
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No1.7K31¢20¢$334.26—
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No472.6468¢71¢$333.21—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes816.2750¢39¢$314.67—
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No318.6585¢93¢$296.35—
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No20088¢96¢$192—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes914.5323¢21¢$187.94—
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?No20089¢94¢$187—
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes3.5K6¢4¢$133.02—
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5.7K3¢2¢$111.14—
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5.1K1¢2¢$103.56—
Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election?No11180¢88¢$97.51—
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8.2K1¢1¢$61.66—
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No57.179¢90¢$51.1—
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.3K1¢2¢$49.53—
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5.2K1¢1¢$49.36—
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.6K3¢3¢$42.69—
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2.0K2¢2¢$39.07—
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes354.8113¢9¢$31.93—
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes712.493¢4¢$25.29—
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.1K2¢2¢$18.89—
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes134.8132¢12¢$15.5—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes150.0811¢10¢$14.41—
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Yes127.8816¢9¢$11.51—
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes22.2K<1¢<1¢$11.11—
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes1.5K12¢1¢$10.05—
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4.9K<1¢<1¢$7.42—
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4001¢2¢$6.2—
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes11.1K1¢<1¢$5.56—
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes875.751¢1¢$4.82—
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?No4.6981¢96¢$4.49—
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes253¢4¢$1.11—
Open positions by value
Unrealized figures cover at most 100 positions

Profile

Wallet
0x4d01…1645
Profile age
—
Balance
—
Closed
1.4K
Active
45

Classification

Whale
—
Smart money
—
Insider
—

Sources

Profile
partial
Positions
ready
Closed
ready
Activity
ready
Categories
unavailable
History
empty