 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 220.93 | 68¢ | 62¢ | $135.87 | — |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 120.74 | 63¢ | 71¢ | $85.12 | — |
 Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?No | 79.39 | 99¢ | 97¢ | $77.05 | — |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 42.34 | 86¢ | 93¢ | $39.16 | — |
 Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?No | 57.6 | 59¢ | 64¢ | $36.86 | — |
 Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100.65 | 78¢ | 19¢ | $18.62 | — |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?Yes | 15.5 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $15.21 | — |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 16.87 | 72¢ | 89¢ | $14.94 | — |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 237.58 | 7¢ | 6¢ | $13.9 | — |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | 13.9 | 60¢ | 82¢ | $11.33 | — |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | 11.49 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $9.31 | — |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?Yes | 12.61 | 53¢ | 70¢ | $8.76 | — |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 314.33 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $8.02 | — |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes | 12.28 | 63¢ | 64¢ | $7.8 | — |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes | 11.67 | 63¢ | 67¢ | $7.76 | — |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Yes | 12.68 | 27¢ | 61¢ | $7.71 | — |
| Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31?No | 7.61 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $7.52 | — |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 10.63 | 82¢ | 71¢ | $7.49 | — |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 36.88 | 31¢ | 20¢ | $7.19 | — |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 14.72 | 63¢ | 49¢ | $7.14 | — |
 Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?Yes | 26.36 | 19¢ | 24¢ | $6.19 | — |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 22.07 | 59¢ | 28¢ | $6.07 | — |
 Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?No | 6.43 | 73¢ | 93¢ | $6 | — |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5.72 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $5.39 | — |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?No | 8.5 | 63¢ | 63¢ | $5.36 | — |
 Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?No | 5.38 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $5.33 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes | 16.96 | 27¢ | 30¢ | $5 | — |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | 6.35 | 58¢ | 79¢ | $4.98 | — |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | 7.81 | 65¢ | 63¢ | $4.93 | — |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 11.84 | 45¢ | 40¢ | $4.68 | — |
| Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | 5 | 71¢ | 91¢ | $4.53 | — |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 4.4 | 84¢ | 83¢ | $3.63 | — |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes | 3.3 | 80¢ | 95¢ | $3.12 | — |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No | 45.94 | 7¢ | 6¢ | $2.89 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | 5.25 | 62¢ | 49¢ | $2.55 | — |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Yes | 29.64 | 14¢ | 9¢ | $2.52 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | 12.33 | 30¢ | 20¢ | $2.4 | — |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes | 6.05 | 29¢ | 31¢ | $1.88 | — |
 Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes | 1.97 | 65¢ | 78¢ | $1.53 | — |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 13¢ | 7¢ | $1.44 | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?Yes | 62.84 | 18¢ | 2¢ | $1.38 | — |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 13.71 | 28¢ | 10¢ | $1.3 | — |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes | 26.57 | 21¢ | 5¢ | $1.3 | — |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | 40.25 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1.03 | — |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4.02 | 31¢ | 18¢ | $0.7 | — |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | 27.18 | 68¢ | 2¢ | $0.49 | — |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | 30.13 | 5¢ | 1¢ | $0.41 | — |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 13.64 | 5¢ | 2¢ | $0.27 | — |
 Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?Yes | 34.29 | 48¢ | 1¢ | $0.19 | — |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 18.34 | 22¢ | 1¢ | $0.17 | — |