Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | 686.62 | 56¢ | 74¢ | $508.1 | — |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | 1.1K | 51¢ | 32¢ | $331.44 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 1.2K | 35¢ | 21¢ | $249.52 | — |
Iran leadership change by November 30?No | 262.77 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $243.06 | — |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | 543.39 | 40¢ | 40¢ | $214.64 | — |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 224.01 | 86¢ | 87¢ | $193.77 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 177.99 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $168.2 | — |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | 171.68 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $164.81 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | 331 | 47¢ | 48¢ | $157.22 | — |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | 168 | 77¢ | 91¢ | $152.04 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | 400.15 | 46¢ | 37¢ | $146.05 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | 194.33 | 57¢ | 64¢ | $123.4 | — |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No | 133.82 | 86¢ | 86¢ | $115.09 | — |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | 333 | 24¢ | 27¢ | $89.91 | — |
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No | 99 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $87.12 | — |
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes | 671.14 | 50¢ | 13¢ | $83.89 | — |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes | 341.6 | 12¢ | 24¢ | $80.28 | — |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | 70 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $67.87 | — |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No | 71 | 85¢ | 88¢ | $62.13 | — |
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 235 | 42¢ | 22¢ | $50.52 | — |
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes | 149 | 27¢ | 33¢ | $48.43 | — |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes | 212 | 19¢ | 23¢ | $47.7 | — |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 46 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $44.25 | — |
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 207.99 | 35¢ | 21¢ | $42.64 | — |
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Yes | 104 | 49¢ | 39¢ | $40.56 | — |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?No | 151.04 | 45¢ | 25¢ | $37.76 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | 2.8K | 13¢ | 1¢ | $34.51 | — |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | 208.82 | 22¢ | 17¢ | $34.46 | — |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 194 | 31¢ | 16¢ | $31.04 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes | 98.61 | 27¢ | 28¢ | $27.12 | — |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No | 28 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $23.24 | — |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | 23 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $22.18 | — |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes | 33 | 61¢ | 64¢ | $20.96 | — |
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | 186.21 | 36¢ | 11¢ | $20.48 | — |
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No | 25 | 81¢ | 81¢ | $20.13 | — |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes | 72 | 28¢ | 26¢ | $18.72 | — |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?No | 48 | 20¢ | 37¢ | $17.52 | — |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes | 43.44 | 35¢ | 35¢ | $15.21 | — |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 81 | 38¢ | 17¢ | $13.77 | — |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes | 182 | 11¢ | 8¢ | $13.65 | — |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?No | 20 | 43¢ | 55¢ | $11 | — |
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?No | 15.26 | 32¢ | 65¢ | $9.85 | — |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Yes | 4.47 | 37¢ | 75¢ | $3.35 | — |
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No | 3.45 | 88¢ | 91¢ | $3.12 | — |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 3 | 61¢ | 75¢ | $2.24 | — |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | 3.01 | 59¢ | 69¢ | $2.06 | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | 3.96 | 45¢ | 37¢ | $1.45 | — |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | 9 | 15¢ | 14¢ | $1.22 | — |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | 4.89 | 14¢ | 10¢ | $0.46 | — |