Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | 553.5 | 28¢ | 32¢ | $174.35 | — |
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Yes | 877.5 | 20¢ | 20¢ | $171.11 | — |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 597.6 | 15¢ | 18¢ | $104.58 | — |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 900 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $85.5 | — |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | 740.57 | 7¢ | 11¢ | $77.76 | — |
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?No | 899.02 | 24¢ | 9¢ | $76.42 | — |
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes | 347.79 | 12¢ | 19¢ | $65.91 | — |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | 1.2K | 9¢ | 5¢ | $55.69 | — |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | 516.52 | 14¢ | 11¢ | $54.75 | — |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | 982.8 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $54.05 | — |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes | 498.08 | 7¢ | 11¢ | $53.79 | — |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | 663.75 | 8¢ | 7¢ | $43.14 | — |
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | 150 | 25¢ | 23¢ | $33.98 | — |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | 396 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $29.7 | — |
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | 918.75 | 9¢ | 3¢ | $27.1 | — |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | 135.52 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $25.75 | — |
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | 96.99 | 38¢ | 25¢ | $24.25 | — |
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | 158.4 | 15¢ | 15¢ | $23.76 | — |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | 585 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $23.11 | — |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | 139.2 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $21.58 | — |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | 83.33 | 18¢ | 26¢ | $21.25 | — |
Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes | 524.78 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $20.47 | — |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | 374.4 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $18.72 | — |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | 319.14 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $17.71 | — |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | 453.6 | 5¢ | 4¢ | $17.46 | — |
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?Yes | 200 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $17.4 | — |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 93.75 | 16¢ | 18¢ | $16.41 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes | 115.38 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $15.58 | — |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | 374.98 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $14.44 | — |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | 142.85 | 11¢ | 10¢ | $14.29 | — |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | 166.66 | 9¢ | 9¢ | $14.17 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes | 83.33 | 18¢ | 17¢ | $13.75 | — |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 238.09 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $13.57 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Yes | 75 | 20¢ | 18¢ | $13.5 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes | 187.5 | 8¢ | 7¢ | $13.13 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?Yes | 136.36 | 11¢ | 10¢ | $12.95 | — |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 143.11 | 12¢ | 9¢ | $12.24 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 107.14 | 14¢ | 11¢ | $11.79 | — |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | 214.28 | 7¢ | 6¢ | $11.79 | — |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | 39.47 | 38¢ | 28¢ | $11.25 | — |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 166.66 | 9¢ | 6¢ | $9.17 | — |
Blue wave in 2026?No | 76.59 | 17¢ | 12¢ | $8.81 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes | 127 | 10¢ | 7¢ | $8.26 | — |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | 75 | 20¢ | 11¢ | $7.88 | — |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Yes | 210.87 | 7¢ | 3¢ | $6.43 | — |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 45.52 | 25¢ | 10¢ | $4.55 | — |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | 32.16 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $1.3 | — |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Yes | 5 | 18¢ | 12¢ | $0.6 | — |
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes | 12.55 | 6¢ | 4¢ | $0.53 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Yes | 5.03 | 6¢ | 4¢ | $0.21 | — |