Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 0%-5%?Yes | 10 | <1¢ | 46¢ | $4.61 | — |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes | 20.09 | <1¢ | 8¢ | $1.66 | — |
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | 80 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $1.64 | — |
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 0%-5%?Yes | 48 | <1¢ | 3¢ | $1.44 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election?Yes | 99.08 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $1.24 | — |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election?Yes | 130 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $1.04 | — |
Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes | 94.72 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.95 | — |
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 120 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.54 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 55% or more?Yes | 25 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.49 | — |
Will MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 10.04 | <1¢ | 4¢ | $0.38 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes | 50 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.35 | — |
Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota?Yes | 16.47 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.33 | — |
Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 20 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.32 | — |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 8 | <1¢ | 3¢ | $0.24 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 0%-15%?Yes | 50 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.22 | — |
Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | 18.23 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.2 | — |
Will SAILORR win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | 50 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.2 | — |
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | 11 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.18 | — |
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 31.73 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.16 | — |
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 97 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.15 | — |
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 90.34 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.14 | — |
Will Robert Downey Jr. be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | 25.81 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.13 | — |
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?Yes | 35.01 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.12 | — |
Will Republicans win the Texas and Nebraska Senate seats, and Democrats win Kansas?Yes | 5.26 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.12 | — |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes | 5 | <1¢ | 2¢ | $0.11 | — |
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes | 23 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.1 | — |
Will Felix Banaszak be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | 17.2 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.1 | — |
Will LASK score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Yes | 20 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.09 | — |
Will Ro Khanna win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes | 14.79 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.08 | — |
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes | 25.11 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.08 | — |
Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes | 15 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.06 | — |
Will Baidu be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 11.4 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.06 | — |
Will Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes | 10.73 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.05 | — |
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes | 10 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.05 | — |
Will Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes | 5 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.05 | — |
Will StepFun be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | 92.03 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.05 | — |
Will Michal Sedláček be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes | 40 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.04 | — |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in South Africa?Yes | 5 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.04 | — |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 23.25 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.03 | — |
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 5.4 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.03 | — |
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + SD?Yes | 20 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.03 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 0%-15%?Yes | 5 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.03 | — |
Will Vladimir Putin be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | 5 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.03 | — |
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 10 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.03 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 0%-20%?Yes | 14.18 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.02 | — |
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 10 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.01 | — |
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 10 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.01 | — |
Will Lightricks have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes | 18 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.009 | — |
Will Katharina Dröge be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | 9.71 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.0049 | — |