 Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | 5.6K | 94¢ | 95¢ | $5.3K | — |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | 5.8K | 80¢ | 70¢ | $4.0K | — |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 3.7K | 56¢ | 99¢ | $3.6K | — |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 4.0K | 74¢ | 75¢ | $3.0K | — |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes | 2.0K | 63¢ | 78¢ | $1.5K | — |
 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | 4.5K | 18¢ | 28¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No | 4.0K | 24¢ | 23¢ | $907.63 | — |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | 1.3K | 65¢ | 64¢ | $849.4 | — |
 Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.3K | 33¢ | 57¢ | $729.75 | — |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.5K | 67¢ | 42¢ | $616.15 | — |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | 1.3K | 33¢ | 38¢ | $502.14 | — |
 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes | 460.84 | 67¢ | 99¢ | $456 | — |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 2.1K | 36¢ | 20¢ | $401.2 | — |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes | 5.6K | 7¢ | 6¢ | $337.42 | — |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 1.1K | 20¢ | 28¢ | $299.45 | — |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 297.19 | 88¢ | 89¢ | $263.01 | — |
 Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes | 326 | 66¢ | 72¢ | $233.09 | — |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | 229.1 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $222.8 | — |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 200 | 63¢ | 99¢ | $198.1 | — |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | 209.59 | 48¢ | 75¢ | $157.19 | — |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | 5.2K | 12¢ | 1¢ | $72.55 | — |
| Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes | 326 | 21¢ | 20¢ | $65.2 | — |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | 209.59 | 49¢ | 25¢ | $51.35 | — |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 116.91 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $33.9 | — |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 297.17 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $29.72 | — |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No | 18.48 | 79¢ | 73¢ | $13.4 | — |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | 200 | 37¢ | 7¢ | $13 | — |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 229.1 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $11.57 | — |
 Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 189.22 | 31¢ | 5¢ | $10.31 | — |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | 28.38 | 26¢ | 30¢ | $8.37 | — |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 10 | 36¢ | 64¢ | $6.35 | — |
 Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?No | 90 | 83¢ | 2¢ | $2.02 | — |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes | 461 | 21¢ | <1¢ | $0.92 | — |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes | 82.56 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.12 | — |
 Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes | 1.18 | 15¢ | 1¢ | $0.01 | — |