 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No | 80 | 77¢ | 87¢ | $69.2 | — |
 Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.5B?Yes | 60 | 81¢ | 86¢ | $51.3 | — |
 Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026No | 50 | 77¢ | 97¢ | $48.55 | — |
 Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?No | 40 | 69¢ | 97¢ | $38.92 | — |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $100B?Yes | 33 | 79¢ | 85¢ | $27.88 | — |
 Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $48B?No | 30.26 | 72¢ | 82¢ | $24.81 | — |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | 30 | 53¢ | 81¢ | $24.15 | — |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | 29.99 | 66¢ | 80¢ | $24.01 | — |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes | 30 | 52¢ | 70¢ | $20.85 | — |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes | 30 | 62¢ | 67¢ | $20.1 | — |
 Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $38.0B?No | 18.99 | 82¢ | 83¢ | $15.76 | — |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?No | 60 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $14.4 | — |
 Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.74B?No | 16.98 | 66¢ | 85¢ | $14.35 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | 18.6 | 68¢ | 76¢ | $14.14 | — |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?Yes | 59.99 | 17¢ | 24¢ | $14.1 | — |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 40 | 38¢ | 34¢ | $13.6 | — |
 Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $17B?Yes | 20 | 48¢ | 67¢ | $13.3 | — |
 Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?Yes | 20 | 40¢ | 64¢ | $12.7 | — |
| Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026Yes | 53.99 | 18¢ | 22¢ | $11.88 | — |
 Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.0B?Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 58¢ | $11.6 | — |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 54¢ | $10.7 | — |
 Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Yes | 20 | 26¢ | 49¢ | $9.84 | — |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | 13.25 | 58¢ | 67¢ | $8.89 | — |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Yes | 30 | 27¢ | 29¢ | $8.7 | — |
 Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Yes | 37 | 23¢ | 24¢ | $8.7 | — |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?Yes | 30 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $7.44 | — |
 Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.35B?Yes | 8.16 | 77¢ | 87¢ | $7.06 | — |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes | 40 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $6.8 | — |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 19¢ | 19¢ | $5.7 | — |
 Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes | 20 | 5¢ | 25¢ | $4.92 | — |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 22¢ | $4.4 | — |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 20 | 25¢ | 22¢ | $4.3 | — |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | 5.67 | 47¢ | 66¢ | $3.75 | — |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes | 29.99 | 12¢ | 12¢ | $3.54 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 20 | 19¢ | 17¢ | $3.33 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 8¢ | 15¢ | $2.93 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 20 | 25¢ | 13¢ | $2.5 | — |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 10 | 28¢ | 22¢ | $2.15 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 10 | 19¢ | 18¢ | $1.76 | — |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 10 | 21¢ | 16¢ | $1.6 | — |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes | 29.99 | 24¢ | 3¢ | $0.94 | — |
 Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes | 20 | 22¢ | 5¢ | $0.9 | — |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.60 and $0.65 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 10 | 27¢ | 9¢ | $0.86 | — |
 Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes | 39.39 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $0.39 | — |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 19¢ | 1¢ | $0.18 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes | 21 | 24¢ | <1¢ | $0.06 | — |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes | 10.03 | 14¢ | <1¢ | $0.005 | — |