Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 17.2K | 31¢ | 94¢ | $16.1K | — |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 15.5K | 38¢ | 94¢ | $14.5K | — |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 14.9K | 67¢ | 92¢ | $13.7K | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | 12.7K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $12.6K | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 11.4K | 74¢ | 99¢ | $11.3K | — |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 8.7K | 81¢ | 93¢ | $8.1K | — |
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | 10.4K | 76¢ | 70¢ | $7.3K | — |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | 5.0K | 75¢ | 94¢ | $4.7K | — |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 5.7K | 68¢ | 75¢ | $4.2K | — |
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 4.7K | 63¢ | 78¢ | $3.6K | — |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 3.5K | 76¢ | 89¢ | $3.1K | — |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?No | 2.8K | 73¢ | 98¢ | $2.7K | — |
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No | 3.1K | 63¢ | 89¢ | $2.7K | — |
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?No | 1.4K | 61¢ | 60¢ | $831.48 | — |
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?No | 630.55 | 56¢ | 80¢ | $501.28 | — |
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Yes | 1.9K | 18¢ | 24¢ | $451.81 | — |
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?No | 441.89 | 73¢ | 77¢ | $338.05 | — |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?No | 308.28 | 86¢ | 97¢ | $297.95 | — |
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No | 51.31 | 44¢ | 93¢ | $47.72 | — |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | 120 | 41¢ | 32¢ | $37.8 | — |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | 50.75 | 65¢ | 62¢ | $31.46 | — |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 181.72 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2.73 | — |