 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 1.1K | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.0K | — |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | 400.65 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $392.44 | — |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | 400.01 | 84¢ | 96¢ | $382.81 | — |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No | 350 | 90¢ | 87¢ | $302.93 | — |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | 300.6 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $284.07 | — |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | 300 | 74¢ | 84¢ | $250.5 | — |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 554.19 | 47¢ | 38¢ | $207.82 | — |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 200 | 99¢ | >99¢ | $199.9 | — |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 240.01 | 84¢ | 83¢ | $198.01 | — |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 200 | 92¢ | 96¢ | $191 | — |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 200 | 85¢ | 95¢ | $189 | — |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 200 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $187 | — |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 200 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $185 | — |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 200 | 50¢ | 90¢ | $179 | — |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | 200 | 65¢ | 78¢ | $155 | — |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No | 199.99 | 68¢ | 78¢ | $154.99 | — |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | 137.29 | 77¢ | 81¢ | $111.2 | — |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | 100 | 80¢ | 94¢ | $93.5 | — |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No | 100 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $93 | — |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | 400 | 39¢ | 22¢ | $88 | — |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | 105 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $87.15 | — |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 100.6 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $86.47 | — |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No | 90 | 77¢ | 89¢ | $79.65 | — |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | 78.5 | 80¢ | 96¢ | $75.09 | — |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | 200 | 56¢ | 37¢ | $73.8 | — |
 Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No | 69.98 | 61¢ | 98¢ | $68.62 | — |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | 75 | 49¢ | 87¢ | $65.25 | — |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes | 183.44 | 53¢ | 36¢ | $65.12 | — |
 Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | 100 | 79¢ | 56¢ | $56.5 | — |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | 73.3 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $53.14 | — |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No | 55.21 | 90¢ | 92¢ | $50.66 | — |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Yes | 50 | 74¢ | 97¢ | $48.4 | — |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes | 60 | 82¢ | 64¢ | $38.1 | — |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | 30 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $29.63 | — |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | 50 | 41¢ | 45¢ | $22.25 | — |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | 100 | 37¢ | 19¢ | $18.5 | — |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 22.7 | 74¢ | 64¢ | $14.41 | — |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes | 150 | 37¢ | 9¢ | $13.5 | — |
 Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes | 28 | 68¢ | 43¢ | $11.9 | — |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | 100 | 15¢ | 12¢ | $11.5 | — |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7.5K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $11.25 | — |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100 | 58¢ | 5¢ | $4.5 | — |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 37.08 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $3.54 | — |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | 5 | 29¢ | 28¢ | $1.38 | — |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 5 | 14¢ | 9¢ | $0.43 | — |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 100 | 16¢ | <1¢ | $0.05 | — |