 Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 78¢ | 96¢ | $47.8 | — |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | 50 | 52¢ | 78¢ | $39 | — |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 50 | 53¢ | 64¢ | $31.75 | — |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 65.85 | 61¢ | 45¢ | $29.3 | — |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | 25.97 | 77¢ | 99¢ | $25.64 | — |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 53.9 | 56¢ | 46¢ | $24.52 | — |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 22.47 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $21.01 | — |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | 28.06 | 71¢ | 74¢ | $20.76 | — |
 Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | 20 | 80¢ | 97¢ | $19.43 | — |
 Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?No | 20 | 79¢ | 87¢ | $17.46 | — |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?No | 19 | 72¢ | 84¢ | $15.96 | — |
 Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?No | 20 | 84¢ | 80¢ | $15.92 | — |
 Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes | 20 | 70¢ | 78¢ | $15.6 | — |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes | 20 | 64¢ | 71¢ | $14.2 | — |
 Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 36¢ | 56¢ | $11.3 | — |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes | 20 | 61¢ | 56¢ | $11.27 | — |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 11.63 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $10.93 | — |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?No | 20 | 63¢ | 55¢ | $10.9 | — |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?No | 19.37 | 58¢ | 52¢ | $10.15 | — |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes | 30 | 40¢ | 29¢ | $8.7 | — |
 Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?No | 8.97 | 67¢ | 91¢ | $8.12 | — |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?No | 9.32 | 76¢ | 75¢ | $6.94 | — |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?No | 20 | 71¢ | 33¢ | $6.5 | — |
 Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?No | 20 | 33¢ | 30¢ | $5.9 | — |
 Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes | 46.88 | 33¢ | 13¢ | $5.86 | — |
 Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?No | 11.44 | 70¢ | 50¢ | $5.66 | — |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 20 | 30¢ | 22¢ | $4.4 | — |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 20 | 21¢ | 20¢ | $3.9 | — |
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?No | 20 | 20¢ | 19¢ | $3.8 | — |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 20 | 45¢ | 19¢ | $3.7 | — |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?No | 4.52 | 69¢ | 81¢ | $3.66 | — |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?No | 5 | 75¢ | 71¢ | $3.55 | — |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes | 20 | 24¢ | 17¢ | $3.4 | — |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes | 20 | 23¢ | 16¢ | $3.2 | — |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September?Yes | 20 | 37¢ | 13¢ | $2.5 | — |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes | 10 | 51¢ | 25¢ | $2.45 | — |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Yes | 8.84 | 37¢ | 23¢ | $1.99 | — |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | 40 | 32¢ | 3¢ | $1.18 | — |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?No | 20 | 51¢ | 6¢ | $1.1 | — |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?Yes | 20 | 42¢ | 5¢ | $1.06 | — |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 16¢ | 5¢ | $0.9 | — |
 Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Yes | 20 | 51¢ | 4¢ | $0.89 | — |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?Yes | 20 | 28¢ | 4¢ | $0.8 | — |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.1 | 71¢ | 71¢ | $0.78 | — |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes | 2.34 | 42¢ | 28¢ | $0.64 | — |
 Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes | 20 | 77¢ | 1¢ | $0.15 | — |
| Will Tsai Sung-yi win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes | 20 | 23¢ | 1¢ | $0.14 | — |
 Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?Yes | 20 | 19¢ | 1¢ | $0.12 | — |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?No | 20 | 36¢ | <1¢ | $0.07 | — |
 Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes | 20 | 42¢ | <1¢ | $0.06 | — |