 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?No | 528.81 | 77¢ | 87¢ | $457.42 | — |
 Blue wave in 2026?Yes | 336.76 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $298.03 | — |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | 140 | 75¢ | 96¢ | $134.54 | — |
 ECB rate cut in 2026?No | 115.51 | 86¢ | 97¢ | $112.04 | — |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes | 339.99 | 30¢ | 33¢ | $110.5 | — |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 100 | 81¢ | 97¢ | $96.95 | — |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | 100 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $94.5 | — |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?No | 100 | 94¢ | 91¢ | $90.5 | — |
 Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026?No | 93.63 | 97¢ | 96¢ | $89.79 | — |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 24.5K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $85.64 | — |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?No | 60 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $58.35 | — |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 100 | 29¢ | 47¢ | $46.5 | — |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 26.3K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $39.48 | — |
 Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | 220.91 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $33.14 | — |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No | 40 | 35¢ | 78¢ | $31.2 | — |
 Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?No | 32.34 | 95¢ | 92¢ | $29.75 | — |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | 200 | 25¢ | 14¢ | $28.8 | — |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | 567.5 | 25¢ | 5¢ | $25.54 | — |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | 25 | 74¢ | >99¢ | $24.94 | — |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes | 500 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $24.75 | — |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 5.1K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $23.1 | — |
 Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?Yes | 300 | 18¢ | 8¢ | $22.5 | — |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | 100 | 27¢ | 21¢ | $20.5 | — |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 7.7K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $19.3 | — |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100 | 18¢ | 19¢ | $19 | — |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes | 25.14 | 61¢ | 71¢ | $17.72 | — |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 500 | 6¢ | 3¢ | $15.75 | — |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | 310 | 20¢ | 5¢ | $13.95 | — |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 49.99 | 17¢ | 28¢ | $13.75 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 163.77 | 26¢ | 8¢ | $12.28 | — |
 Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes | 4.2K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $6.34 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 50 | 73¢ | 13¢ | $6.25 | — |
 Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes | 92.51 | 20¢ | 6¢ | $5.92 | — |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | 4.85 | 21¢ | 94¢ | $4.54 | — |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 24, 2026?Yes | 61.1 | 36¢ | 7¢ | $4.25 | — |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 24¢ | 16¢ | $3.1 | — |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 3¢ | $2.9 | — |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 1.4K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $2.03 | — |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3.0K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $1.5 | — |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes | 77.89 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $0.97 | — |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | 1.7K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.87 | — |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | 20 | 46¢ | 4¢ | $0.71 | — |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | 1.0K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.5 | — |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 1.0K | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.5 | — |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | 5.26 | 11¢ | 8¢ | $0.42 | — |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | 811.67 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.41 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | 795.53 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.4 | — |
| Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes | 400 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.2 | — |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 1¢ | $0.16 | — |