Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 1.2K | 74¢ | 87¢ | $1.1K | — |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | 1.4K | 53¢ | 68¢ | $936.67 | — |
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?No | 999.64 | 81¢ | 77¢ | $769.72 | — |
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?No | 716 | 51¢ | 91¢ | $651.56 | — |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 1.4K | 61¢ | 46¢ | $649.35 | — |
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No | 618.99 | 81¢ | 85¢ | $526.14 | — |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No | 700 | 64¢ | 66¢ | $458.5 | — |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 389.61 | 77¢ | 90¢ | $348.7 | — |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 400 | 68¢ | 85¢ | $338 | — |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 400 | 84¢ | 83¢ | $330 | — |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes | 415 | 65¢ | 79¢ | $328.68 | — |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 375 | 72¢ | 87¢ | $324.38 | — |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | 500 | 74¢ | 64¢ | $320 | — |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 320 | 82¢ | >99¢ | $319.04 | — |
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes | 480 | 32¢ | 64¢ | $307.2 | — |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 800 | 33¢ | 38¢ | $300 | — |
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?No | 360 | 61¢ | 78¢ | $280.8 | — |
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Yes | 575.4 | 22¢ | 46¢ | $261.81 | — |
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | 600 | 54¢ | 44¢ | $261 | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 320 | 53¢ | 75¢ | $238.4 | — |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 800.01 | 48¢ | 28¢ | $228 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | 300 | 83¢ | 68¢ | $202.95 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 600 | 50¢ | 30¢ | $177 | — |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 600 | 25¢ | 28¢ | $165 | — |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 378.27 | 53¢ | 42¢ | $156.98 | — |
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes | 349.99 | 65¢ | 36¢ | $124.25 | — |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 100 | 82¢ | 81¢ | $81 | — |
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes | 117 | 55¢ | 59¢ | $69.03 | — |
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | 300 | 28¢ | 17¢ | $51.45 | — |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 217.27 | 36¢ | 23¢ | $48.89 | — |
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes | 326 | 58¢ | 11¢ | $35.86 | — |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Yes | 200 | 36¢ | 7¢ | $13 | — |
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?No | 50 | 50¢ | 10¢ | $5 | — |
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes | 40 | 44¢ | 4¢ | $1.54 | — |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 729.07 | 2¢ | <1¢ | $1.09 | — |
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Yes | 109.99 | 39¢ | 1¢ | $0.93 | — |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 56.52 | 35¢ | 1¢ | $0.54 | — |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 7¢ | 2¢ | $0.46 | — |