 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 29.9K | 7¢ | 94¢ | $28.0K | — |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | 15.3K | 33¢ | 92¢ | $14.0K | — |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | 13.5K | 80¢ | 99¢ | $13.3K | — |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 21.7K | 18¢ | 56¢ | $12.1K | — |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 10.8K | 68¢ | 75¢ | $8.0K | — |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 8.6K | 41¢ | 91¢ | $7.8K | — |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 10.5K | 78¢ | 67¢ | $7.0K | — |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 6.2K | 84¢ | 93¢ | $5.7K | — |
 Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?No | 7.5K | 73¢ | 62¢ | $4.6K | — |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | 5.0K | 72¢ | 86¢ | $4.3K | — |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 3.1K | 61¢ | 99¢ | $3.0K | — |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 3.2K | 83¢ | 93¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 3.7K | 74¢ | 78¢ | $2.9K | — |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 2.8K | 67¢ | >99¢ | $2.8K | — |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 2.7K | 73¢ | 89¢ | $2.4K | — |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 2.6K | 56¢ | 92¢ | $2.4K | — |
 Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | 2.3K | 95¢ | 99¢ | $2.3K | — |
 Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?No | 2.2K | 90¢ | 96¢ | $2.1K | — |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Yes | 2.5K | 70¢ | 73¢ | $1.8K | — |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | 2.1K | 65¢ | 83¢ | $1.7K | — |
 Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?No | 1.9K | 83¢ | 77¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No | 1.4K | 83¢ | 98¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Turkey military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | 1.4K | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | 1.3K | 84¢ | 90¢ | $1.2K | — |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | 1.1K | 75¢ | 92¢ | $1.0K | — |
| Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | 973.47 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $915.06 | — |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?No | 960.21 | 82¢ | 95¢ | $912.2 | — |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?No | 872.68 | 84¢ | 97¢ | $847.37 | — |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 880.71 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $788.23 | — |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | 663.51 | 78¢ | 95¢ | $630.33 | — |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 632.11 | 66¢ | 94¢ | $594.18 | — |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 2.7K | 35¢ | 20¢ | $524.25 | — |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | 707.72 | 53¢ | 70¢ | $491.87 | — |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No | 500 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $465 | — |
| Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?No | 438.57 | 79¢ | 98¢ | $428.92 | — |
| Will Miri Regev be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?No | 395.25 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $360.07 | — |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?No | 397.69 | 68¢ | 89¢ | $353.94 | — |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | 257.54 | 73¢ | 96¢ | $246.72 | — |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | 469.76 | 17¢ | 37¢ | $171.46 | — |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | 95.99 | 66¢ | 95¢ | $90.76 | — |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | 55 | 40¢ | 89¢ | $48.95 | — |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | 199.99 | 38¢ | 23¢ | $45 | — |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 54.82 | 47¢ | 62¢ | $33.71 | — |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 147.29 | 57¢ | 12¢ | $16.94 | — |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?Yes | 144.89 | <1¢ | 1¢ | $0.8 | — |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?Yes | 174.45 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.7 | — |