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0nk0nf0rm0d
0xb93e…195e
Realized P&L
+$1.1K
Unrealized
+$121.73
Portfolio
$3.6K
Win rate
33.3%
150 closed
Open
23
Volume
$2.2K
Reported P&L
—
1D
1W
1M
ALL
No P&L history returned
Portfolio
Network
Positions
23
Closed
Activity
Categories
Open positions by current value
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Market
Shares
Entry
Price
Value
Realized
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Yes
1.9K
28¢
28¢
$531.52
—
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Yes
492.75
75¢
80¢
$394.2
—
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes
400
71¢
82¢
$326
—
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
No
500
61¢
65¢
$322.5
—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes
400
64¢
71¢
$282
—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes
720
26¢
32¢
$226.8
—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Yes
1.2K
17¢
18¢
$211.81
—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes
300
60¢
68¢
$202.5
—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No
200
83¢
88¢
$176
—
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
No
345
41¢
51¢
$174.22
—
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes
200
64¢
74¢
$147
—
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?
Yes
180
64¢
76¢
$135.9
—
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes
198.49
55¢
52¢
$102.22
—
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No
160
52¢
59¢
$95.12
—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
110
64¢
73¢
$79.75
—
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
No
99.2
47¢
54¢
$53.07
—
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Yes
399.99
17¢
9¢
$34
—
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Yes
308.63
17¢
10¢
$29.63
—
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
No
100
55¢
30¢
$29.5
—
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
2.6K
1¢
1¢
$19.33
—
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
476.19
2¢
2¢
$8.1
—
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
Yes
100
23¢
8¢
$8
—
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?
Yes
29.99
24¢
17¢
$5.1
—
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