2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 2.0K | 38¢ | 72¢ | $1.4K | — |
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | 4.0K | 57¢ | 25¢ | $1.0K | — |
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 3.5K | 3¢ | 19¢ | $654.37 | — |
Blue wave in 2026?Yes | 699.98 | 70¢ | 89¢ | $619.49 | — |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 500 | 62¢ | 89¢ | $442.5 | — |
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 500 | 63¢ | 79¢ | $395 | — |
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No | 500 | 83¢ | 78¢ | $387.5 | — |
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 499.99 | 66¢ | 69¢ | $344.99 | — |
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 500 | 61¢ | 65¢ | $325 | — |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 701.32 | 8¢ | 41¢ | $284.39 | — |
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 300 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $283.5 | — |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes | 3.4K | 29¢ | 8¢ | $262.57 | — |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | 304.99 | 47¢ | 86¢ | $260.77 | — |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | 1.5K | 39¢ | 17¢ | $255 | — |
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?No | 259.98 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $242.17 | — |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | 200 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $189 | — |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | 200 | 81¢ | 92¢ | $183 | — |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | 1.0K | 13¢ | 17¢ | $165 | — |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | 200 | 76¢ | 80¢ | $159 | — |
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 161.85 | 60¢ | 77¢ | $124.62 | — |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes | 199.99 | 55¢ | 62¢ | $123 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | 199.99 | 82¢ | 55¢ | $109 | — |
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 500 | 41¢ | 21¢ | $105 | — |
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | 100 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $97.15 | — |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 99.99 | 55¢ | 97¢ | $96.84 | — |
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 377.25 | 39¢ | 24¢ | $88.65 | — |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | 100 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $88.5 | — |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No | 99.99 | 70¢ | 88¢ | $87.99 | — |
Maduro guilty of all counts?No | 119.19 | 41¢ | 68¢ | $80.46 | — |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | 79.99 | 73¢ | 95¢ | $75.59 | — |
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No | 80 | 84¢ | 92¢ | $73.2 | — |
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | 3.2K | 6¢ | 2¢ | $65.6 | — |
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | 499.99 | 76¢ | 13¢ | $62.5 | — |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | 99.99 | 80¢ | 61¢ | $61 | — |
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | 2.0K | 4¢ | 3¢ | $55 | — |
Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | 927.71 | 47¢ | 6¢ | $51.02 | — |
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | 548.26 | 52¢ | 9¢ | $49.89 | — |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | 200 | 53¢ | 16¢ | $31 | — |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?No | 31.83 | 77¢ | 97¢ | $30.89 | — |
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 52.4K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $26.19 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes | 147.51 | 43¢ | 18¢ | $25.81 | — |
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes | 100 | 59¢ | 8¢ | $8 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes | 100 | 78¢ | 6¢ | $5.5 | — |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | 110 | 24¢ | 5¢ | $5.5 | — |
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | 80 | 70¢ | 5¢ | $3.8 | — |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No | 43.33 | 71¢ | 6¢ | $2.47 | — |