Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 861.46 | 85¢ | 84¢ | $719.32 | — |
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No | 147.26 | 90¢ | 90¢ | $131.8 | — |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 115.65 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $111.89 | — |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 99.71 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $92.23 | — |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 93.07 | 88¢ | 93¢ | $86.37 | — |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 100 | 79¢ | 83¢ | $82.5 | — |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 77.93 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $73.64 | — |
Iran leadership change by November 30?No | 73.39 | 93¢ | 93¢ | $67.89 | — |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | 346.1 | 27¢ | 20¢ | $67.49 | — |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 667.69 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $64.1 | — |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 85¢ | 89¢ | $44.25 | — |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No | 50 | 82¢ | 88¢ | $43.75 | — |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 42.34 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $41.32 | — |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | 56.27 | 66¢ | 66¢ | $37.14 | — |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 40 | 95¢ | 92¢ | $36.8 | — |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 45.75 | 75¢ | 71¢ | $32.25 | — |
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?No | 32.42 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $29.99 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?No | 97.42 | 28¢ | 31¢ | $29.71 | — |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | 29.31 | 97¢ | 95¢ | $27.9 | — |
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | 30 | 65¢ | 83¢ | $24.75 | — |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes | 36.66 | 77¢ | 64¢ | $23.28 | — |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 32¢ | 74¢ | $22.2 | — |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 47.83 | 56¢ | 41¢ | $19.61 | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No | 40 | 40¢ | 48¢ | $19 | — |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | 19.41 | 98¢ | 95¢ | $18.51 | — |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes | 20 | 79¢ | 93¢ | $18.5 | — |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | 50 | 19¢ | 35¢ | $17.5 | — |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 978.77 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $16.64 | — |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | 30 | 56¢ | 53¢ | $15.75 | — |
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | 54.44 | 31¢ | 28¢ | $14.97 | — |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No | 20 | 77¢ | 74¢ | $14.8 | — |
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?No | 11.84 | 98¢ | 97¢ | $11.47 | — |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | 149.54 | 12¢ | 8¢ | $11.22 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | 69.99 | 53¢ | 16¢ | $11.13 | — |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | 92.22 | 17¢ | 12¢ | $11.07 | — |
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?No | 10 | 93¢ | >99¢ | $9.96 | — |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 72.92 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $9.84 | — |
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?No | 10.18 | 93¢ | 94¢ | $9.57 | — |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | 9.88 | 88¢ | 88¢ | $8.65 | — |
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes | 10.26 | 87¢ | 81¢ | $8.31 | — |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 71.76 | 22¢ | 12¢ | $8.25 | — |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 50 | 25¢ | 17¢ | $8.25 | — |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | 7.77 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $7.46 | — |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 8.16 | 54¢ | 89¢ | $7.22 | — |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes | 34.69 | 11¢ | 18¢ | $6.24 | — |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 62.24 | 13¢ | 7¢ | $4.48 | — |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | 40 | 28¢ | 6¢ | $2.2 | — |
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Yes | 40.95 | 11¢ | 4¢ | $1.45 | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 40 | 19¢ | 1¢ | $0.26 | — |