 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | 900 | 67¢ | 82¢ | $733.5 | — |
 Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | 1.7K | 27¢ | 38¢ | $638.71 | — |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 600 | 92¢ | 96¢ | $573 | — |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | 1.4K | 46¢ | 39¢ | $550.22 | — |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | 459.99 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $437.68 | — |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | 400 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $358 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 350 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $250.25 | — |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 247.38 | 95¢ | 90¢ | $222.77 | — |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by October 31?No | 200 | 86¢ | 99¢ | $198.8 | — |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31?No | 183.9 | 67¢ | >99¢ | $183.44 | — |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 11.8K | 2¢ | 2¢ | $176.47 | — |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | 200 | 74¢ | 88¢ | $176.3 | — |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | 192.43 | 52¢ | 86¢ | $164.53 | — |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | 218.11 | 47¢ | 62¢ | $134.14 | — |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?No | 170 | 87¢ | 77¢ | $131.5 | — |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 200 | 25¢ | 62¢ | $124 | — |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 774.46 | 23¢ | 16¢ | $120.04 | — |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes | 119.9 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $116.84 | — |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 100 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $97.35 | — |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | 100 | 84¢ | 97¢ | $96.75 | — |
 Diddy released from custody in 2026?No | 100 | 91¢ | 87¢ | $86.9 | — |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes | 271 | 15¢ | 27¢ | $73.17 | — |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No | 73.44 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $71.31 | — |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 100 | 66¢ | 71¢ | $70.5 | — |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 124.91 | 72¢ | 54¢ | $66.83 | — |
 Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Yes | 71.6 | 37¢ | 90¢ | $64.55 | — |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | 284.7 | 32¢ | 21¢ | $58.36 | — |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | 488.67 | 47¢ | 9¢ | $41.78 | — |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | 50 | 63¢ | 83¢ | $41.25 | — |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes | 59.99 | 55¢ | 67¢ | $39.89 | — |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?No | 40 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $39.34 | — |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 120 | 30¢ | 33¢ | $39 | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | 200 | 31¢ | 12¢ | $24.7 | — |
 Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No | 28.47 | 85¢ | 87¢ | $24.63 | — |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?No | 20 | 88¢ | >99¢ | $19.92 | — |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | 20 | 77¢ | 95¢ | $19.04 | — |
| Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No | 20.06 | 83¢ | 64¢ | $12.84 | — |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?No | 20 | 73¢ | 64¢ | $12.7 | — |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | 50 | 22¢ | 21¢ | $10.25 | — |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | 27.37 | 44¢ | 35¢ | $9.58 | — |
| Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | 27.68 | 2¢ | 31¢ | $8.71 | — |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | 20 | 45¢ | 42¢ | $8.4 | — |
 Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | 296.99 | <1¢ | 3¢ | $7.42 | — |
 Will Texas Tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | 40 | 13¢ | 13¢ | $5 | — |
 Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes | 190 | 4¢ | 2¢ | $4.08 | — |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | 226.59 | 14¢ | <1¢ | $0.79 | — |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | 1.25 | 80¢ | 46¢ | $0.57 | — |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | 22.4 | 3¢ | 1¢ | $0.3 | — |