 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 3.1K | 92¢ | 96¢ | $3.0K | — |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No | 2.7K | 93¢ | 96¢ | $2.6K | — |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | 2.0K | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.9K | — |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 1.5K | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.4K | — |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 1.3K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.3K | — |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | 1.2K | 78¢ | 94¢ | $1.1K | — |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?No | 1.1K | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.1K | — |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | 1.1K | 90¢ | 92¢ | $988.74 | — |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | 818.2 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $799.79 | — |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 761.8 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $732.09 | — |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 759.25 | 80¢ | 86¢ | $650.67 | — |
 Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?No | 546 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $521.43 | — |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 500 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $486 | — |
| Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?No | 498 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $478.08 | — |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | 500 | 94¢ | 94¢ | $467.5 | — |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | 500 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $462.5 | — |
 Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?No | 548.78 | 82¢ | 84¢ | $458.23 | — |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | 489.9 | 81¢ | 92¢ | $450.71 | — |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | 500 | 89¢ | 88¢ | $441.75 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 450 | 88¢ | 93¢ | $416.25 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 360.67 | 83¢ | 88¢ | $315.59 | — |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | 342.47 | 73¢ | 88¢ | $299.66 | — |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No | 302 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $292.79 | — |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?No | 318 | 89¢ | 89¢ | $283.02 | — |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No | 279.86 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $268.66 | — |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No | 277.14 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $264.53 | — |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | 280.9 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $263.34 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | 282.66 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $261.46 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No | 268.43 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $259.44 | — |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?No | 308 | 77¢ | 83¢ | $254.1 | — |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | 260.98 | 96¢ | 93¢ | $242.45 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 250 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $236.25 | — |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 1.4K | 36¢ | 16¢ | $232.86 | — |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?No | 251 | 93¢ | 92¢ | $232.05 | — |
| Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?No | 200 | 84¢ | 92¢ | $184 | — |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?No | 200 | 84¢ | 83¢ | $165 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 200 | 59¢ | 75¢ | $149 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 645.88 | 45¢ | 23¢ | $145.32 | — |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?No | 128.21 | 78¢ | 85¢ | $108.97 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 693.32 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $105.38 | — |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 5.9K | 5¢ | 2¢ | $97.99 | — |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?No | 116.55 | 75¢ | 76¢ | $88.58 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 100 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $83.5 | — |
| Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?No | 77 | 92¢ | 96¢ | $73.73 | — |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | 77.33 | 94¢ | 94¢ | $72.88 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 73.55 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $70.24 | — |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 1.1K | 2¢ | 4¢ | $38.92 | — |
 Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?No | 20 | 73¢ | 45¢ | $9 | — |
 Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | 0.86 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $0.84 | — |