Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 244.39 | 68¢ | 83¢ | $201.62 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes | 67.3 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $65.01 | — |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 65.81 | 3¢ | 97¢ | $63.84 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 63.02 | 4¢ | 84¢ | $53 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes | 48.08 | 91¢ | 97¢ | $46.73 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?No | 48.75 | 78¢ | 92¢ | $44.85 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes | 44.83 | 57¢ | 95¢ | $42.59 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?Yes | 42.92 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $42.53 | — |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 40.59 | 77¢ | 95¢ | $38.36 | — |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 40.3 | 77¢ | 95¢ | $38.08 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Yes | 31.99 | 92¢ | 96¢ | $30.82 | — |
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | 18.67 | 79¢ | >99¢ | $18.66 | — |
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No | 16.16 | 29¢ | 96¢ | $15.58 | — |
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | 40.65 | 9¢ | 33¢ | $13.21 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?Yes | 12.68 | 94¢ | 98¢ | $12.45 | — |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | 11.66 | 78¢ | 92¢ | $10.67 | — |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No | 5.98 | 18¢ | 98¢ | $5.87 | — |
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | 77.87 | 11¢ | 7¢ | $5.61 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes | 31.74 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.24 | — |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 5.43 | 42¢ | 96¢ | $5.19 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes | 5.1 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $4.99 | — |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 75.23 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $4.44 | — |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | 3.59 | 87¢ | 97¢ | $3.5 | — |
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | 78.44 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $2.9 | — |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes | 35.95 | 24¢ | 8¢ | $2.8 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?No | 7.74 | 23¢ | 31¢ | $2.4 | — |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 2.48 | 80¢ | 97¢ | $2.39 | — |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 47.71 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $2.36 | — |
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Yes | 52.86 | 10¢ | 4¢ | $1.96 | — |
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No | 13.05 | 42¢ | 14¢ | $1.89 | — |
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes | 12.02 | 16¢ | 14¢ | $1.62 | — |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | 10.04 | 52¢ | 16¢ | $1.56 | — |
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Yes | 24.61 | 29¢ | 5¢ | $1.34 | — |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | 37.56 | 23¢ | 3¢ | $1.26 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5.92 | 23¢ | 20¢ | $1.15 | — |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | 17.2 | 19¢ | 5¢ | $0.82 | — |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 5.46 | 58¢ | 11¢ | $0.57 | — |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | 0.54 | 50¢ | 84¢ | $0.45 | — |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes | 11.54 | 8¢ | 3¢ | $0.36 | — |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 17.8 | 27¢ | 2¢ | $0.3 | — |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | 7.24 | 28¢ | 4¢ | $0.29 | — |
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 8.11 | 74¢ | 3¢ | $0.28 | — |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 1.51 | 39¢ | 11¢ | $0.16 | — |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | 23.56 | 4¢ | 1¢ | $0.14 | — |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 9.78 | 26¢ | 1¢ | $0.09 | — |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 27.37 | 13¢ | <1¢ | $0.08 | — |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 23.86 | 51¢ | <1¢ | $0.01 | — |
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | 0.69 | 13¢ | 1¢ | $0.0097 | — |