Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | 2.0K | 73¢ | 81¢ | $1.6K | — |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | 1.8K | 82¢ | 85¢ | $1.5K | — |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | 1.4K | 80¢ | 97¢ | $1.3K | — |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 1.2K | 80¢ | 84¢ | $1.0K | — |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | 900.87 | 72¢ | 83¢ | $747.72 | — |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 719.95 | 60¢ | 82¢ | $586.76 | — |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | 553.5 | 78¢ | 97¢ | $536.62 | — |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | 422.7 | 67¢ | 95¢ | $399.45 | — |
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No | 499.99 | 63¢ | 78¢ | $387.49 | — |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 350 | 54¢ | 94¢ | $327.25 | — |
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?No | 347.71 | 76¢ | 88¢ | $305.98 | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 302 | 77¢ | 99¢ | $299.74 | — |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | 350.12 | 66¢ | 85¢ | $295.85 | — |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | 302.82 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $287.07 | — |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 250 | 73¢ | 87¢ | $216.25 | — |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | 357.67 | 78¢ | 58¢ | $207.45 | — |
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?No | 200 | 76¢ | 95¢ | $190 | — |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | 200 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $189 | — |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 276.76 | 77¢ | 67¢ | $184.05 | — |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 127.49 | 56¢ | >99¢ | $127.43 | — |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | 150.8 | 70¢ | 80¢ | $119.89 | — |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Yes | 143 | 69¢ | 74¢ | $105.11 | — |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 100 | 70¢ | >99¢ | $99.75 | — |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | 177 | 71¢ | 53¢ | $93.81 | — |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 100 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $92.5 | — |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 100 | 90¢ | 92¢ | $91.5 | — |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | 100 | 74¢ | 91¢ | $91 | — |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 100 | 83¢ | 86¢ | $85.65 | — |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | 83.11 | 80¢ | 94¢ | $78.12 | — |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 217.92 | 50¢ | 35¢ | $77.03 | — |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 85 | 87¢ | 87¢ | $74.25 | — |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?No | 85.92 | 68¢ | 86¢ | $73.46 | — |
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No | 78 | 71¢ | 94¢ | $72.93 | — |
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No | 49.13 | 91¢ | 91¢ | $44.49 | — |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 210 | 28¢ | 21¢ | $43.15 | — |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | 50 | 50¢ | 62¢ | $30.83 | — |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | 30 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $28.53 | — |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | 70 | 39¢ | 28¢ | $19.53 | — |
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | 20.03 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $18.23 | — |
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?No | 12 | 85¢ | 80¢ | $9.54 | — |
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?No | 10 | 78¢ | 91¢ | $9.05 | — |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | 10 | 77¢ | 88¢ | $8.75 | — |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | 11.63 | 96¢ | 72¢ | $8.37 | — |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | 5.67 | 75¢ | 93¢ | $5.28 | — |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | 5 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $4.84 | — |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | 5 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $4.72 | — |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No | 3 | 80¢ | 97¢ | $2.9 | — |