Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes | 561.99 | 44¢ | 33¢ | $185.46 | — |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | 29.41 | 34¢ | 40¢ | $11.62 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 56.82 | 44¢ | 20¢ | $11.08 | — |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 16.67 | 30¢ | 53¢ | $8.83 | — |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Yes | 128.96 | 8¢ | 6¢ | $8.25 | — |
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 18.75 | 16¢ | 41¢ | $7.69 | — |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 52.55 | 19¢ | 14¢ | $7.62 | — |
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 23.81 | 21¢ | 32¢ | $7.62 | — |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 76.86 | 33¢ | 8¢ | $6.07 | — |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | 25.16 | 20¢ | 23¢ | $5.79 | — |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | 42.88 | 47¢ | 11¢ | $4.5 | — |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 65.35 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $3.76 | — |
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No | 23.81 | 21¢ | 16¢ | $3.69 | — |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | 22.22 | 27¢ | 16¢ | $3.44 | — |
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | 51 | 39¢ | 6¢ | $3.26 | — |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | 71.43 | 7¢ | 4¢ | $3.14 | — |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | 56.67 | 9¢ | 6¢ | $3.12 | — |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | 26.04 | 38¢ | 10¢ | $2.57 | — |
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 27.92 | 18¢ | 9¢ | $2.51 | — |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | 39.86 | 25¢ | 6¢ | $2.51 | — |
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 21.43 | 14¢ | 11¢ | $2.37 | — |
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 23.08 | 13¢ | 10¢ | $2.31 | — |
Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes | 14.29 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $2.24 | — |
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | 23.08 | 13¢ | 9¢ | $1.96 | — |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes | 22.57 | 13¢ | 9¢ | $1.92 | — |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | 41.07 | 7¢ | 5¢ | $1.85 | — |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?Yes | 21.43 | 14¢ | 9¢ | $1.82 | — |
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Yes | 16.67 | 18¢ | 10¢ | $1.67 | — |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | 45.03 | 22¢ | 4¢ | $1.67 | — |
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Yes | 33.33 | 6¢ | 5¢ | $1.5 | — |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | 42.86 | 7¢ | 3¢ | $1.22 | — |
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 25.57 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1.12 | — |
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes | 20.83 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1.08 | — |
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Yes | 31.25 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1.08 | — |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | 62.51 | 5¢ | 2¢ | $1.06 | — |
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes | 21.28 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1.05 | — |
Greenland snap election called by December 31?Yes | 19.61 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1.05 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes | 6.67 | 15¢ | 15¢ | $1 | — |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?Yes | 23.08 | 13¢ | 4¢ | $0.99 | — |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | 13.16 | 8¢ | 7¢ | $0.93 | — |
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?Yes | 11.76 | 17¢ | 7¢ | $0.76 | — |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | 10 | 10¢ | 7¢ | $0.68 | — |
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?No | 22.73 | 4¢ | 3¢ | $0.65 | — |
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | 20.83 | 5¢ | 3¢ | $0.55 | — |
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?Yes | 12.5 | 8¢ | 4¢ | $0.49 | — |
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes | 5.88 | 17¢ | 4¢ | $0.25 | — |
Will Tamara Zieschang be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | 370.17 | <1¢ | <1¢ | $0.19 | — |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 106.83 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.16 | — |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | 125 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.13 | — |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Yes | 24.8 | 12¢ | <1¢ | $0.04 | — |