US recession by end of 2026?No | 279.09 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $263.74 | — |
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | 279.36 | 25¢ | 45¢ | $124.32 | — |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes | 195.33 | 77¢ | 64¢ | $124.04 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | 247.77 | 32¢ | 20¢ | $48.32 | — |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes | 131.9 | 53¢ | 36¢ | $46.82 | — |
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | 300 | 35¢ | 15¢ | $45 | — |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | 299.47 | 34¢ | 12¢ | $35.94 | — |
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes | 144.63 | 64¢ | 24¢ | $33.99 | — |
Will the Patriots win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | 80 | 15¢ | 40¢ | $32 | — |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | 385.97 | 17¢ | 8¢ | $30.88 | — |
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 147.6 | 20¢ | 20¢ | $28.78 | — |
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 300 | 11¢ | 4¢ | $11.55 | — |
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes | 187 | 9¢ | 5¢ | $8.51 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election?Yes | 149.01 | 7¢ | 5¢ | $7.97 | — |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | 299.58 | 10¢ | 1¢ | $3.89 | — |
Will the season series between the Bills and Patriots end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | 6 | 46¢ | 58¢ | $3.48 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?Yes | 20.02 | 19¢ | 12¢ | $2.35 | — |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | 2.23 | 79¢ | 83¢ | $1.84 | — |
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | 2.07 | 38¢ | 88¢ | $1.81 | — |
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?Yes | 45.65 | 26¢ | 4¢ | $1.73 | — |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes | 1.2K | 1¢ | <1¢ | $1.25 | — |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | 0.84 | 77¢ | 90¢ | $0.76 | — |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | 0.72 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $0.69 | — |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | 49.87 | 4¢ | 1¢ | $0.67 | — |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | 0.82 | 13¢ | 73¢ | $0.59 | — |
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | 0.82 | 74¢ | 72¢ | $0.59 | — |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | 0.7 | 52¢ | 80¢ | $0.56 | — |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | 6.64 | 8¢ | 6¢ | $0.37 | — |
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 0.54 | 57¢ | 50¢ | $0.27 | — |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | 0.91 | 64¢ | 28¢ | $0.25 | — |
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | 0.83 | 23¢ | 28¢ | $0.23 | — |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?No | 0.68 | 36¢ | 34¢ | $0.23 | — |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes | 0.75 | 44¢ | 18¢ | $0.13 | — |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | 1 | 33¢ | 10¢ | $0.1 | — |
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes | 0.83 | 53¢ | 10¢ | $0.08 | — |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | 0.54 | 8¢ | 4¢ | $0.02 | — |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | 0.72 | 5¢ | <1¢ | $0.0018 | — |