 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 5.0K | 86¢ | 85¢ | $4.2K | — |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 5.9K | 47¢ | 56¢ | $3.3K | — |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 3.5K | 84¢ | 87¢ | $3.1K | — |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 3.0K | 73¢ | 99¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 3.2K | 83¢ | 87¢ | $2.8K | — |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No | 6.4K | 36¢ | 36¢ | $2.3K | — |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 2.2K | 83¢ | 86¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 1.3K | 87¢ | 86¢ | $1.1K | — |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 2.1K | 33¢ | 47¢ | $995.56 | — |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | 1.0K | 93¢ | 94¢ | $935 | — |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes | 7.0K | 6¢ | 11¢ | $735 | — |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 4.1K | 17¢ | 18¢ | $721.04 | — |
 Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?No | 500 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $460 | — |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 479.97 | 72¢ | 89¢ | $424.78 | — |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | 6.0K | 19¢ | 7¢ | $390 | — |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | 276.55 | 81¢ | 87¢ | $240.6 | — |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | 3.0K | 13¢ | 8¢ | $225 | — |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 200 | 50¢ | 91¢ | $181 | — |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | 1.4K | 10¢ | 9¢ | $119.29 | — |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.3K | 9¢ | 9¢ | $114.46 | — |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | 98.81 | 56¢ | 97¢ | $95.4 | — |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 300 | 34¢ | 24¢ | $70.5 | — |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 5.6K | 16¢ | 1¢ | $30.96 | — |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | 219.6 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $26.35 | — |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 20.7 | 60¢ | 97¢ | $20.03 | — |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | 24.1K | 7¢ | <1¢ | $12.04 | — |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes | 600 | 13¢ | <1¢ | $2.7 | — |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | 197.66 | 60¢ | <1¢ | $0.89 | — |
 US confirms pilots rescued by April 4?Yes | 2.5K | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2.0K | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | — |