Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?World2%Yes 2¢No 98¢+$50.6K$120.2KJan 1, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics44%Yes 44¢No 56¢+$49.8K$167.5KJan 1, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics2%Yes 2¢No 98¢+$43.4K$646.0KJan 1, 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics7%Yes 7¢No 94¢+$33.3K$147.4KJan 1, 2027
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics8%Yes 8¢No 93¢+$25.9K$63.8KJan 1, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Geopolitics20%Yes 20¢No 80¢+$22.0K$34.1KNov 16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics31%Yes 31¢No 70¢+$21.7K$105.1KDec 1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics34%Yes 34¢No 67¢+$18.5K$86.9KJan 1, 2027
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics84%Yes 84¢No 16¢+$17.2K$94.9KJan 1, 2027