Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerPolitics6Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMohammed Abdullahi AbubakarYes 40¢No 60¢Yakubu AdamuYes 30¢No 71¢Umar Shehu BubaYes 4¢No 96¢+3 more outcomes+0.0%$60.6KFeb 7, 2027
Houthis enter Aden by...?Geopolitics3December 31Yes 17¢No 84¢November 30Yes 8¢No 92¢October 31Yes <1¢No >99¢+0.0%$115.9KJan 1, 2027
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Politics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupShutdown & Democratic PartyYes 94¢No 6¢Shutdown & Republican PartyYes 4¢No 96¢+0.0%$53.4KFeb 1, 2027
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?Politics21Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupS + MP + C + VYes 22¢No 79¢S + MPYes 18¢No 82¢SYes 16¢No 85¢+18 more outcomes+0.0%$269.8KAug 1, 2027
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by...?Politics2March 31, 2027Yes 29¢No 72¢December 31, 2026Yes 10¢No 89¢+0.0%$889.20Apr 1, 2027
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Politics13%Yes 13¢No 87¢+0.0%$11.0KApr 18, 2027
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?Politics7↑ 45%Yes 7¢No 96¢↑ 44%Yes 6¢No 94¢↑ 46%Yes 4¢No 97¢+4 more outcomes+0.0%$5.3KJan 4, 2027
Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?Politics6Neg-risk · Shared collateral group45-54Yes 51¢No 76¢55-64Yes 45¢No 68¢Under 45Yes 28¢No 72¢+3 more outcomes+0.0%$8.3KAug 31, 2028
2027 Chicago Mayoral ElectionPolitics12Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAlexi GiannouliasYes 75¢No 25¢Brandon JohnsonYes 11¢No 90¢John KellyYes 5¢No 95¢+9 more outcomes+0.0%$124.8KFeb 23, 2027
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?Politics8Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAdam TelleYes 30¢No 57¢Marc AndersenYes 15¢No 79¢Sean ParnellYes 14¢No 87¢+5 more outcomes+0.0%$22.3KJan 19, 2029
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?World13Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo Next Chancellor before 2028Yes 68¢No 33¢Hendrik WüstYes 14¢No 87¢Markus SöderYes 10¢No 90¢+10 more outcomes+0.0%$344.2KJan 1, 2028
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)Geopolitics31%Yes 31¢No 70¢+0.0%$46.9KJan 1, 2027
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Politics9%Yes 9¢No 92¢+0.0%$11.0KJan 1, 2027
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Politics5%Yes 5¢No 95¢+0.0%$12.5KJan 1, 2027