Next Israeli election called by...?Geopolitics3December 31, 2027Yes 80¢No 18¢March 31, 2027Yes 52¢No 48¢December 31, 2026Yes 12¢No 89¢+640%$13.2KJan 1, 2028
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?Finance12%Yes 12¢No 88¢+632%$1.8KJan 1, 2027
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?World2March 31, 2027Yes 36¢No 64¢December 31, 2026Yes 28¢No 73¢+339%$21.5KApr 1, 2027
Who will Trump meet with by November 30?Politics16Xi JinpingYes 96¢No 4¢Vladimir PutinYes 82¢No 19¢Mark CarneyYes 56¢No 44¢+13 more outcomes+185%$222.1KDec 1
Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?World10Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupGeraldo AlckminYes 38¢No 68¢Fernando HaddadYes 23¢No 94¢Rafael FontelesYes 18¢No 82¢+7 more outcomes+181%$35.0KMar 1, 2027
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?Politics22Xi JinpingYes 93¢No 8¢Vladimir PutinYes 88¢No 12¢Mark CarneyYes 83¢No 17¢+19 more outcomes+164%$195.9KDec 1
Trump declares a national emergency by...?Politics2December 31Yes 42¢No 68¢November 30Yes 34¢No 81¢+138%$545.84Jan 1, 2027
2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 85¢No 16¢Republican PartyYes 7¢No 93¢+119%$81.8KNov 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Virginia WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 84¢No 16¢Republican PartyYes 14¢No 87¢+95%$85.4KNov 8, 2028
Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?World5Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJosé MúcioYes 33¢No 90¢Celso AmorimYes 23¢No 84¢Aloizio MercadanteYes 18¢No 88¢+2 more outcomes+92%$1.2KMar 1, 2027
Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?World22Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo government formedYes 36¢No 64¢OtherYes 30¢No 99¢Y + T + B + DYes 13¢No 88¢+19 more outcomes+81%$109.8KJan 1, 2028
Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?World6Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMauro VieiraYes 37¢No 64¢Fernando HaddadYes 28¢No 72¢Celso AmorimYes 18¢No 82¢+3 more outcomes+70%$11.9KMar 1, 2027
Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly Election WinnerPolitics4Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupBJPYes 84¢No 16¢SPYes 16¢No 84¢BSPYes 1¢No 99¢+1 more outcomes+52%$27.4KApr 1, 2027
Which party will win the Senate in 2028?Elections2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 61¢No 39¢Republican PartyYes 39¢No 62¢+51%$130.4KNov 8, 2028
Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?Politics2ZelenskyyYes 19¢No 81¢PutinYes 16¢No 84¢+44%$12.4KJan 1, 2027
2028 Presidential Election: Texas WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupRepublican PartyYes 78¢No 23¢Democratic PartyYes 23¢No 77¢+43%$105.0KNov 8, 2028